Spectral Stats - Top 2500 Meta Trends - Last Week - Heroes

Explain this to me

Here you can see how winrates of the heroes change with match duration. Early winrate is calculated based on top 25% shortest games (duration less than Q1 - Early duration) and late winrate is based on top 25% longest games (duration higher than Q3 - Late duration). Gradient represents how chances to win change with every minute of the game.

Remove low matches (1967)

ColumnsDurationWinrateChart

		Duration					Winrate
Hero	Matches	Early (Q1)	Median	Late (Q3)	Mean	Std.dev	Early	Mean	Late	Gradient	Chart
Anti-Mage	1358	26:41	33:00	40:16	33:43	09:53	28.53%	44.55%	56.18%	2.04%
Axe	7169	28:11	34:06	41:10	34:48	09:55	53.84%	52.00%	51.53%	-0.18%
Bane	1418	27:04	32:45	40:19	33:51	09:53	47.75%	49.37%	54.08%	0.48%
Bloodseeker	501	30:18	35:37	42:17	36:33	09:53	30.95%	43.71%	56.35%	2.12%
Crystal Maiden	3178	27:15	33:16	40:24	34:04	10:03	51.32%	49.06%	49.37%	-0.15%
Drow Ranger	1446	28:45	35:12	41:48	35:41	10:14	37.81%	43.98%	47.11%	0.71%
Earthshaker	2271	28:23	34:41	41:34	35:12	10:03	47.10%	47.82%	50.88%	0.29%
Juggernaut	4408	27:32	33:30	39:59	33:57	09:26	43.06%	47.19%	49.73%	0.54%
Mirana	1230	26:47	33:04	40:06	33:32	09:46	28.16%	41.30%	47.08%	1.42%
Morphling	1471	26:53	32:52	39:30	33:20	09:56	34.96%	41.81%	50.41%	1.22%
Shadow Fiend	7443	27:17	33:31	40:46	34:10	10:08	55.02%	50.19%	49.38%	-0.42%
Phantom Lancer	1154	27:42	34:11	41:30	35:05	10:39	51.72%	49.74%	45.33%	-0.46%
Puck	1644	27:34	33:52	40:45	34:27	09:51	42.86%	46.11%	47.69%	0.37%
Pudge	9009	27:26	33:33	40:39	34:09	09:53	51.64%	49.42%	47.58%	-0.31%
Razor	2940	27:59	34:03	41:05	34:39	09:52	45.68%	45.41%	48.57%	0.22%
Sand King	6689	28:06	33:49	40:41	34:31	09:41	47.19%	51.67%	56.30%	0.72%
Storm Spirit	6988	27:30	33:34	40:25	34:09	09:50	50.88%	51.66%	54.69%	0.29%
Sven	663	26:46	32:38	39:47	33:17	09:58	37.35%	44.49%	47.59%	0.79%
Tiny	9542	27:30	33:27	40:08	34:00	09:40	52.05%	49.50%	45.67%	-0.51%
Vengeful Spirit	5259	26:52	33:00	39:55	33:33	09:35	48.56%	51.76%	51.10%	0.19%
Windranger	4235	27:20	33:44	40:57	34:21	10:12	50.52%	50.89%	50.61%	0.01%
Zeus	8442	28:13	34:23	41:25	35:03	10:06	60.02%	51.99%	46.51%	-1.02%
Kunkka	516	27:33	34:30	40:02	34:23	10:06	29.01%	42.25%	46.15%	1.37%
Lina	2014	27:33	33:51	40:48	34:25	10:00	44.25%	47.67%	46.43%	0.16%
Lion	2807	28:36	34:38	41:06	35:04	09:52	45.01%	46.92%	50.92%	0.47%
Shadow Shaman	6847	27:18	33:19	40:13	34:00	09:40	57.15%	54.62%	52.75%	-0.34%
Slardar	4580	26:52	33:07	40:01	33:43	09:53	46.60%	49.04%	52.40%	0.44%
Tidehunter	853	27:06	33:52	40:37	34:03	10:18	39.25%	45.84%	49.30%	0.74%
Witch Doctor	3644	28:24	34:38	41:21	35:15	09:58	53.73%	52.00%	51.10%	-0.20%
Lich	2265	28:52	34:53	41:33	35:35	09:58	43.56%	50.07%	51.68%	0.64%
Riki	623	28:00	34:05	41:20	35:06	10:43	38.46%	46.71%	56.41%	1.35%
Enigma	1191	26:25	33:06	40:47	33:47	10:36	59.73%	55.33%	52.84%	-0.48%
Tinker	897	28:01	34:32	41:51	35:16	10:49	34.07%	43.59%	48.44%	1.04%
Sniper	1011	28:25	35:16	42:33	35:49	10:34	47.04%	45.50%	39.92%	-0.50%
Necrophos	2249	28:09	34:25	41:21	35:01	09:51	42.83%	48.38%	50.27%	0.56%
Warlock	1846	28:06	34:14	40:56	34:48	09:50	46.75%	47.18%	48.28%	0.12%
Beastmaster	1513	25:57	32:24	39:08	33:04	09:47	50.66%	46.93%	47.49%	-0.24%
Queen of Pain	2420	28:59	35:14	41:50	35:42	10:01	37.07%	45.95%	53.06%	1.24%
Venomancer	8641	28:07	34:10	41:03	34:46	09:53	51.13%	51.80%	48.89%	-0.17%
Faceless Void	2329	28:23	34:16	41:04	34:52	09:41	33.28%	47.19%	56.85%	1.86%
Wraith King	4237	27:53	33:55	41:03	34:38	09:58	46.80%	48.67%	49.29%	0.19%
Death Prophet	773	27:20	32:48	39:59	33:37	09:56	47.94%	44.63%	48.45%	0.04%
Phantom Assassin	650	27:10	33:16	40:37	33:58	10:06	39.26%	45.54%	52.76%	1.00%
Pugna	1422	26:46	32:51	39:51	33:31	10:04	53.22%	49.65%	46.50%	-0.51%
Templar Assassin	6223	26:30	32:30	39:53	33:14	09:51	63.80%	53.88%	47.08%	-1.25%
Viper	1147	28:05	34:23	41:40	34:52	10:31	43.90%	43.07%	41.46%	-0.18%
Luna	1220	26:34	32:30	39:51	33:08	10:09	45.28%	45.25%	47.21%	0.15%
Dragon Knight	5754	26:48	32:42	39:42	33:25	09:47	55.76%	50.80%	46.07%	-0.75%
Dazzle	1009	26:38	32:53	39:23	33:19	09:39	45.06%	45.89%	45.85%	0.06%
Clockwerk	5836	27:13	33:44	40:45	34:10	09:54	57.26%	52.66%	49.97%	-0.54%
Leshrac	3640	27:12	33:09	39:56	33:50	09:45	50.38%	52.58%	54.67%	0.34%
Nature's Prophet	1283	23:54	31:26	39:08	31:22	11:05	21.81%	38.97%	49.07%	1.79%
Lifestealer	5480	27:49	33:41	40:41	34:26	09:44	46.46%	53.43%	53.76%	0.57%
Dark Seer	2118	27:13	33:21	40:14	34:15	09:57	52.73%	53.21%	49.06%	-0.28%
Clinkz	1622	27:12	34:03	40:50	34:09	09:54	49.88%	48.95%	46.80%	-0.23%
Omniknight	234	27:15	34:03	39:52	34:02	09:48	38.98%	39.32%	35.59%	-0.27%
Enchantress	1176	27:05	33:43	40:57	34:04	10:06	55.25%	47.19%	46.44%	-0.64%
Huskar	794	25:03	31:47	38:12	31:41	10:00	48.74%	47.73%	46.50%	-0.17%
Night Stalker	3718	27:09	33:24	40:08	33:48	09:43	52.37%	53.01%	54.24%	0.14%
Broodmother	1411	24:14	30:12	36:49	30:55	09:44	57.51%	53.08%	48.73%	-0.70%
Bounty Hunter	2536	27:09	32:38	39:26	33:37	09:41	52.52%	53.59%	54.89%	0.19%
Weaver	8047	26:58	33:18	40:33	33:57	10:05	56.86%	52.64%	51.37%	-0.40%
Jakiro	1750	28:44	34:52	41:25	35:28	10:13	43.15%	44.74%	48.63%	0.43%
Batrider	1895	26:38	32:50	39:57	33:26	09:45	47.27%	45.07%	44.30%	-0.22%
Chen	429	24:38	30:38	36:35	30:59	09:20	47.22%	50.12%	46.79%	-0.04%
Spectre	762	28:50	34:43	42:04	35:38	10:32	33.51%	43.31%	50.26%	1.27%
Ancient Apparition	1585	29:49	35:45	42:29	36:22	10:07	44.84%	49.02%	50.88%	0.48%
Doom	1911	28:07	34:30	41:30	35:07	09:56	41.84%	46.73%	52.50%	0.80%
Ursa	5947	27:47	34:07	41:08	34:44	10:07	47.81%	51.17%	54.94%	0.53%
Spirit Breaker	5868	26:46	32:56	39:57	33:32	09:47	53.33%	51.93%	51.77%	-0.12%
Gyrocopter	2080	27:59	33:53	40:33	34:28	09:46	47.60%	48.08%	49.52%	0.15%
Alchemist	1167	27:00	32:56	39:19	33:19	09:47	48.29%	49.79%	49.32%	0.08%
Invoker	2458	27:29	33:44	40:52	34:20	10:03	45.29%	47.93%	44.97%	-0.02%
Silencer	2774	28:29	34:26	41:23	35:04	09:40	34.48%	48.99%	60.37%	2.01%
Outworld Destroyer	1758	28:45	35:14	41:42	35:42	09:50	36.14%	49.20%	54.09%	1.39%
Lycan	811	26:10	32:24	39:01	33:10	10:14	51.23%	50.06%	46.31%	-0.38%
Brewmaster	1187	27:09	33:02	40:35	34:08	09:49	48.48%	53.83%	56.90%	0.63%
Shadow Demon	1567	28:39	34:15	41:03	34:50	09:45	46.94%	48.88%	51.28%	0.35%
Lone Druid	639	23:24	29:51	37:09	30:40	10:32	50.00%	50.55%	49.38%	-0.05%
Chaos Knight	4316	26:38	32:55	40:26	33:39	09:56	53.74%	52.59%	49.68%	-0.29%
Meepo	1369	26:05	31:11	37:13	31:51	08:57	54.23%	53.98%	54.81%	0.05%
Treant Protector	1967	26:57	33:15	40:42	34:05	10:23	54.67%	52.47%	49.90%	-0.35%
Ogre Magi	2236	27:46	33:29	40:11	34:05	09:23	49.64%	48.52%	48.48%	-0.09%
Undying	1637	27:11	32:32	39:48	33:43	09:58	52.44%	50.15%	47.32%	-0.41%
Rubick	5518	27:43	33:54	40:47	34:29	10:01	52.25%	48.57%	45.99%	-0.48%
Disruptor	3367	27:39	33:45	41:04	34:30	09:45	45.85%	50.31%	52.79%	0.52%
Nyx Assassin	3280	28:00	33:55	40:40	34:33	09:51	41.24%	46.95%	50.85%	0.76%
Naga Siren	512	26:28	32:34	39:39	33:16	10:16	40.31%	46.88%	46.88%	0.50%
Keeper of the Light	1284	26:47	33:08	39:36	33:31	10:13	50.62%	48.68%	43.61%	-0.55%
Io	1948	24:14	30:45	37:18	31:14	09:46	53.28%	49.79%	46.20%	-0.54%
Visage	1065	25:13	31:33	38:15	32:00	09:29	63.67%	53.52%	43.82%	-1.52%
Slark	2135	26:52	33:27	40:16	34:01	10:12	42.70%	46.65%	52.24%	0.71%
Medusa	704	27:47	33:59	40:33	34:43	10:23	51.98%	50.57%	55.11%	0.25%
Troll Warlord	2266	26:02	32:14	39:09	32:57	09:41	52.29%	50.40%	53.26%	0.07%
Centaur Warrunner	5076	28:01	34:07	41:00	34:43	09:50	47.53%	51.06%	54.77%	0.56%
Magnus	1327	27:30	33:34	40:34	34:10	09:52	38.55%	43.18%	44.88%	0.48%
Timbersaw	3287	27:42	33:48	41:26	34:35	09:48	41.50%	45.91%	50.91%	0.69%
Bristleback	451	26:36	33:14	40:44	33:45	09:53	20.35%	39.02%	45.61%	1.79%
Tusk	1602	26:25	32:41	39:26	33:12	09:44	42.39%	42.57%	43.89%	0.12%
Skywrath Mage	2151	28:25	34:29	41:15	35:01	09:40	49.81%	50.58%	51.49%	0.13%
Abaddon	2083	26:45	32:48	39:26	33:23	09:15	56.62%	52.04%	47.79%	-0.70%
Elder Titan	786	28:10	34:51	42:20	35:36	10:31	50.25%	50.51%	54.31%	0.29%
Legion Commander	5120	27:39	33:39	40:23	34:10	09:46	53.78%	49.82%	43.56%	-0.80%
Techies	1590	27:22	33:44	40:44	34:19	10:36	41.35%	43.27%	45.73%	0.33%
Ember Spirit	2801	27:15	33:50	40:57	34:13	09:57	49.00%	50.23%	49.15%	0.01%
Earth Spirit	1473	27:04	33:20	40:15	33:48	10:00	49.73%	49.42%	48.65%	-0.08%
Underlord	1674	27:46	34:00	40:51	34:36	10:02	49.52%	50.66%	46.90%	-0.20%
Terrorblade	812	26:23	33:14	40:07	33:26	10:12	38.73%	42.00%	44.33%	0.41%
Phoenix	7772	27:47	34:01	40:56	34:36	09:47	60.02%	53.36%	48.82%	-0.85%
Oracle	2347	26:37	32:40	39:30	33:24	09:49	49.74%	53.98%	53.32%	0.28%
Winter Wyvern	3350	27:03	33:09	40:40	33:56	10:11	54.71%	52.78%	49.76%	-0.36%
Arc Warden	614	25:55	32:42	41:03	33:06	10:14	50.65%	54.40%	52.60%	0.13%
Monkey King	2853	27:32	33:58	41:17	34:34	10:24	48.81%	50.09%	47.20%	-0.12%
Dark Willow	6844	28:00	34:19	41:18	34:59	10:12	58.90%	54.18%	51.11%	-0.59%
Pangolier	825	26:47	33:05	40:46	33:54	10:04	45.67%	43.52%	46.15%	0.03%
Grimstroke	1503	27:27	33:42	40:51	34:34	10:18	45.21%	46.84%	52.13%	0.52%
Hoodwink	4453	27:41	33:54	41:12	34:37	10:14	51.12%	49.18%	48.43%	-0.20%
Void Spirit	3573	27:27	33:13	40:37	34:09	09:59	44.97%	50.52%	52.01%	0.53%
Snapfire	1841	27:08	33:25	40:33	34:06	10:08	42.42%	43.78%	46.65%	0.32%
Mars	2932	28:04	34:17	41:04	34:49	09:47	41.14%	45.50%	47.48%	0.49%
Dawnbreaker	1120	27:43	33:39	40:31	34:30	09:46	50.89%	49.38%	48.94%	-0.15%
Marci	2375	25:56	32:10	38:45	32:41	09:38	58.29%	51.75%	47.64%	-0.83%
Primal Beast	2074	27:20	33:33	40:11	33:50	09:48	54.13%	48.84%	49.90%	-0.33%
Muerta	1015	27:56	34:21	41:28	34:41	09:56	47.24%	46.90%	48.24%	0.07%

Top 2500 Meta Trends - Last Week

Immortal Rank Top-50% (2500 rank, ~8k+ MMR) stats for the past 7 days, data provided by Stratz.com

Average match duration: 34.2139