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AD2L Season 36

American Amateur league meant to bring high quality events to amateur players

Second Pick Radiant Winrate: 45.5471

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Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
ItemPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxStd.Dev
ghostGhost Scepter3575.29%43.652.38%+2.51%+12.06%-0.16%-1.13%33:3611:4527:3333:1938:201:03:5107:59
Columns
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
HeroPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxWindowStd.Dev
techiesTechies2857.14%100.085.71%+57.14%+14.29%0.00%-2.06%30:0611:4826:3529:4533:3248:5206:5605:08
keeper_of_the_lightKeeper of the Light1565.22%98.560.00%+22.50%-10.00%-10.00%0.00%28:1916:1822:0025:5033:3058:0611:3008:31
linaLina1110.09%96.972.73%+23.75%+27.27%-39.40%-6.59%33:0624:0628:0534:4738:1241:4510:0707:29
wispIo631.58%95.466.67%+20.52%+33.33%-16.67%-5.93%30:5224:2326:0331:0434:2938:4208:2606:14
oracleOracle717.50%93.871.43%+13.85%-21.43%+28.57%7.91%35:0531:0131:5834:3138:1839:3106:1904:41
nyx_assassinNyx Assassin66.19%92.383.33%+30.58%+16.67%-33.33%-3.68%38:1222:5129:4238:5243:1857:1013:3610:04
pudgePudge109.09%90.870.00%+17.00%+30.00%-3.33%-2.38%37:1222:3627:2736:0641:291:02:0214:0210:23
jakiroJakiro1611.35%89.262.50%+16.10%+37.50%-12.50%-7.38%35:5725:4732:5336:5439:3942:0206:4605:00
zuusZeus2331.94%87.752.17%+13.39%+14.50%-18.84%-3.03%31:3718:1825:1730:5736:1754:2211:0008:09
silencerSilencer1515.46%86.260.00%+2.68%-35.00%+40.00%7.07%35:1922:3429:3937:2340:1651:4810:3607:51
primal_beastPrimal Beast33.57%84.6100.00%+54.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%28:1617:0724:5132:3533:5135:0709:0006:40
winter_wyvernWinter Wyvern79.09%83.171.43%+24.29%+28.57%-21.43%-2.67%41:3316:0534:3141:2653:1357:4818:4213:51
puckPuck613.04%81.566.67%+29.17%+33.33%-16.67%-5.63%30:0923:1426:1528:3135:0837:4608:5306:35
grimstrokeGrimstroke611.54%80.066.67%+12.32%-16.67%+33.33%5.58%36:1624:0532:1435:0841:1248:4308:5706:38
lichLich1315.12%78.553.85%+0.43%-3.85%-3.85%0.00%36:0222:3731:2635:5138:0557:1406:3904:55
crystal_maidenCrystal Maiden1313.83%76.953.85%+9.41%+21.15%-28.85%-4.78%29:0315:4623:3330:2234:0143:1210:2807:45
skywrath_mageSkywrath Mage1027.03%75.450.00%+1.85%-16.67%+50.00%7.46%35:4923:3529:3630:4838:3257:2308:5606:37
void_spiritVoid Spirit928.13%73.844.44%+5.31%-11.11%-11.11%0.00%26:4216:2422:1325:5132:1738:2610:0407:27
arc_wardenArc Warden311.54%72.366.67%+1.45%+33.33%+33.33%0.00%43:4035:3238:2541:1947:4454:0909:1806:53
earthshakerEarthshaker57.69%70.860.00%+6.67%-60.00%+40.00%40.00%37:2134:1736:2137:0038:5140:1702:3001:51
tinkerTinker545.45%69.240.00%-43.33%+10.00%+10.00%0.00%29:0421:1126:1628:3834:1934:5408:0305:57
witch_doctorWitch Doctor88.89%67.750.00%+2.44%-50.00%0.00%5.09%38:5230:1434:0737:5043:5648:0009:4907:16
undyingUndying116.83%66.245.45%-5.88%-12.12%+21.22%3.63%35:5419:2229:3935:5738:501:03:5109:1006:47
hoodwinkHoodwink910.00%64.644.44%-8.65%+22.23%-11.11%-5.62%35:0723:1032:4834:2738:4441:1705:5604:23
alchemistAlchemist15.00%63.1100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%35:0335:0335:0335:0335:0335:0300:0000:00
death_prophetDeath Prophet96.82%61.544.44%-6.78%-11.11%+55.56%15.15%31:4924:4627:2928:0631:5351:2304:2403:15
rattletrapClockwerk33.49%60.066.67%+24.50%+33.33%+33.33%0.00%35:3822:5525:2627:5842:0056:0216:3312:15
magnataurMagnus13.70%58.5100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%49:1149:1149:1149:1149:1149:1100:0000:00
warlockWarlock13.23%56.9100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%27:1027:1027:1027:1027:1027:1000:0000:00
tinyTiny32.44%55.466.67%+16.67%+33.33%-66.67%0.00%33:4725:0926:1327:1838:0548:5311:5208:47
storm_spiritStorm Spirit12.70%53.8100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%37:0237:0237:0237:0237:0237:0200:0000:00
nevermoreShadow Fiend11.49%52.3100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%27:0927:0927:0927:0927:0927:0900:0000:00
axeAxe11.37%50.8100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%32:0932:0932:0932:0932:0932:0900:0000:00
omniknightOmniknight11.30%49.2100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%31:4231:4231:4231:4231:4231:4200:0000:00
juggernautJuggernaut10.78%47.7100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%22:5522:5522:5522:5522:5522:5500:0000:00
ancient_apparitionAncient Apparition68.33%46.233.33%-22.73%+66.67%-33.33%-42.03%36:2922:1635:1737:2237:4049:3002:2201:45
baneBane26.45%44.650.00%+8.62%+50.00%-50.00%0.00%38:3333:4436:0838:3240:5643:2104:4803:33
phoenixPhoenix25.88%43.150.00%-6.25%-50.00%+50.00%0.00%26:3224:0125:1626:3127:4629:0202:3001:51
batriderBatrider24.44%41.550.00%-8.14%-50.00%+50.00%0.00%23:1913:4518:3223:1928:0632:5309:3407:05
gyrocopterGyrocopter314.29%40.033.33%0.00%-33.33%+66.67%0.00%30:5823:2227:2631:3134:4638:0207:2005:25
shadow_shamanShadow Shaman23.64%38.550.00%-8.49%-50.00%+50.00%0.00%29:5717:2323:4029:5736:1442:3112:3409:18
miranaMirana23.23%36.950.00%-10.00%-50.00%+50.00%0.00%43:1841:5842:3843:1843:5844:3801:2000:59
leshracLeshrac1013.33%35.420.00%-38.46%+46.67%-20.00%-12.09%30:0116:4028:1330:4333:4441:3205:3104:05
rubickRubick99.00%33.822.22%-22.83%-22.22%+11.11%3.60%34:2318:3929:0930:2838:2553:2709:1606:51
snapfireSnapfire85.76%32.325.00%-20.80%-25.00%-25.00%0.00%36:0328:4833:0234:2139:0345:1906:0104:27
invokerInvoker36.25%30.833.33%-8.89%-33.33%+66.67%0.00%35:4025:2428:0130:3840:4750:5712:4609:27
marciMarci21.18%29.250.00%-5.69%-50.00%+50.00%0.00%31:1928:2429:5131:1832:4534:1302:5402:09
earth_spiritEarth Spirit412.50%27.725.00%-28.57%-25.00%+75.00%14.37%30:5525:3627:3331:0934:3035:4406:5705:09
sand_kingSand King714.00%26.214.29%-43.85%+35.71%-14.29%-4.74%30:2111:4526:2035:5736:5338:2010:3307:48
disruptorDisruptor67.41%24.616.67%-26.00%+33.33%-16.67%-6.92%38:2329:3734:4637:0942:0048:4307:1305:20
dark_willowDark Willow11.82%23.10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%42:5042:5042:5042:5042:5042:5000:0000:00
bounty_hunterBounty Hunter16.25%21.50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%37:3837:3837:3837:3837:3837:3800:0000:00
razorRazor11.89%20.00.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%36:3936:3936:3936:3936:3936:3900:0000:00
elder_titanElder Titan111.11%18.50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%33:1933:1933:1933:1933:1933:1900:0000:00
lionLion28.33%16.90.00%-31.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%33:4726:1229:5933:4637:3341:2107:3405:36
queenofpainQueen of Pain12.44%15.40.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%32:0632:0632:0632:0632:0632:0600:0000:00
vengefulspiritVengeful Spirit22.11%13.80.00%-46.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%41:1139:1840:1441:1142:0743:0401:5301:23
venomancerVenomancer210.53%12.30.00%-52.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%39:1731:5835:3739:1642:5546:3507:1805:24
tuskTusk10.99%10.80.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%30:0630:0630:0630:0630:0630:0600:0000:00
pugnaPugna17.69%9.20.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%36:4636:4636:4636:4636:4636:4600:0000:00
dazzleDazzle11.59%7.70.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%36:3236:3236:3236:3236:3236:3200:0000:00
shadow_demonShadow Demon15.00%6.20.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%25:0425:0425:0425:0425:0425:0400:0000:00
centaurCentaur Warrunner11.64%4.60.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%37:4737:4737:4737:4737:4737:4700:0000:00
shredderTimbersaw14.00%3.10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%39:5339:5339:5339:5339:5339:5300:0000:00
ogre_magiOgre Magi410.53%1.50.00%-52.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%39:0430:1635:0440:3044:2944:5909:2506:58