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AD2L Season 39

American Amateur league meant to bring high quality events to amateur players

Second Pick Winrate: 55.0274

league_banner
HeroPickedWinrate
obsidian_destroyerOutworld Destroyer6140.98%

Items category:
Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
Columns
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
ItemPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxWindowStd.Dev
sheepstickScythe of Vyse2542.37%100.060.00%+30.59%+23.33%-26.67%-4.10%38:5124:2231:1439:5943:2654:4612:1209:02
ultimate_scepter_2Aghanim's Blessing610.17%98.983.33%+45.59%+16.67%+16.67%0.00%50:1444:0746:5248:4252:5456:5606:0204:28
moon_shardMoon Shard1220.34%97.866.67%+30.50%+33.33%0.00%-1.75%50:0828:4635:0049:5254:001:17:0419:0014:04
null_talismanNull Talisman4271.19%96.750.00%+26.47%+22.73%-10.00%-27.28%02:11-01:2901:0301:4002:1515:5601:1200:53
hurricane_pikeHurricane Pike3864.41%95.650.00%+21.43%0.00%-5.56%-0.69%25:5317:0420:3524:1528:3649:0208:0105:56
dragon_lanceDragon Lance3966.10%94.448.72%+18.72%+11.28%-8.72%-3.17%24:3712:3019:5523:2126:1448:3506:1904:40
fluffy_hatFluffy Hat4271.19%93.347.62%+18.21%-2.17%+2.38%0.61%18:3708:3914:1817:4121:4932:3707:3105:34
force_staffForce Staff4067.80%92.247.50%+15.92%-17.50%-17.50%0.00%20:5012:3016:4319:3422:5132:5906:0804:32
black_king_barBlack King Bar4067.80%91.147.50%+15.92%+12.50%+2.50%-1.44%29:4020:4724:4328:3131:4046:3506:5705:08
hand_of_midasHand of Midas2542.37%90.052.00%+16.71%+14.67%-2.00%-2.80%11:3306:4607:4810:3713:4525:2705:5704:24
chainmailChainmail4169.49%88.946.34%+13.01%+3.66%+3.66%0.00%14:5502:4910:4513:3117:5433:0307:0905:17
witch_bladeWitch Blade4169.49%87.846.34%+13.01%-6.34%-6.34%0.00%17:0509:2312:2915:4819:3233:1507:0305:13
power_treadsPower Treads5288.14%86.744.23%+15.66%+9.62%-13.46%-4.54%09:5404:2106:5910:0412:0417:5105:0503:45
revenants_broochRevenant's Brooch915.25%85.666.67%+28.67%+33.33%+33.33%0.00%39:1132:2336:1638:0443:0145:4806:4505:00
bootsBoots of Speed59100.00%84.442.37%+42.37%+4.30%-2.37%-1.36%06:2702:0803:4506:1408:3911:5504:5403:37
vambraceVambrace711.86%83.371.43%+32.97%+28.57%+28.57%0.00%20:1718:0018:0019:0020:0025:0002:0001:28
enchanted_quiverEnchanted Quiver711.86%82.271.43%+32.97%+28.57%-21.43%-50.00%28:5128:0028:0029:0029:0031:0001:0000:44
void_stoneVoid Stone4169.49%81.143.90%+5.01%+6.10%+6.10%0.00%22:0602:3706:1013:4635:1554:4629:0521:32
ultimate_scepterAghanim's Scepter2542.37%80.048.00%+9.76%-14.67%+2.00%1.48%31:2817:1125:1631:1336:3046:5211:1408:19
magic_stickMagic Stick2440.68%78.945.83%+5.83%-12.50%+4.17%2.93%04:23-01:2900:1801:2505:5925:3705:4104:12
magic_wandMagic Wand2440.68%77.845.83%+5.83%+20.84%-12.50%-3.56%07:23-01:2902:1305:3411:3526:2109:2206:56
arcane_blinkArcane Blink46.78%76.775.00%+35.00%+25.00%+25.00%0.00%48:5736:0836:0844:5052:071:02:4415:5911:50
aghanims_shardAghanim's Shard2237.29%75.640.91%-2.33%-7.58%+19.09%2.47%37:2516:3931:3937:2842:281:02:2710:4908:00
blinkBlink Dagger2949.15%74.437.93%-8.74%-9.36%+19.21%1.78%26:5310:3816:5224:0532:5359:3916:0111:51
refresherRefresher Orb23.39%73.3100.00%+59.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%1:04:2056:2056:201:12:191:12:191:12:1915:5911:50
dandelion_amuletDandelion Amulet23.39%72.2100.00%+59.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%28:3028:0028:0029:0029:0029:0001:0000:44
cornucopiaCornucopia1016.95%71.150.00%+9.18%-50.00%0.00%1.63%44:0916:3231:3934:241:02:251:12:0630:4622:47
ring_of_healthRing of Health2237.29%70.036.36%-9.59%+13.64%+3.64%-3.11%04:4401:5602:2402:5205:3716:2103:1302:22
pogo_stickTumbler's Toy58.47%68.960.00%+19.26%+40.00%-60.00%-12.50%14:0008:0008:0016:0016:0018:0008:0005:55
quelling_bladeQuelling Blade58.47%67.860.00%+19.26%-60.00%+40.00%100.00%01:17-01:29-01:2900:0900:3208:4102:0101:29
arcane_ringArcane Ring58.47%66.760.00%+19.26%-60.00%+40.00%25.00%12:2409:0009:0012:0013:0016:0004:0002:57
meteor_hammerMeteor Hammer2033.90%65.630.00%-18.72%+10.00%-10.00%-11.21%08:1605:2806:4607:3108:3316:4701:4701:19
vindicators_axeVindicator's Axe35.08%64.466.67%+25.60%+33.33%0.00%0.00%29:0028:0028:0029:0030:0030:0002:0001:28
shivas_guardShiva's Guard35.08%63.366.67%+25.60%+33.33%0.00%0.00%52:1543:5343:5352:2260:2960:2916:3612:17
crownCrown2033.90%62.225.00%-26.28%-5.00%+15.00%20.00%00:58-01:29-01:29-01:2900:3614:4202:0501:32
nullifierNullifier11.69%61.1100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%50:3150:3150:3150:3150:3150:3100:0000:00
apexApex11.69%60.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1:01:001:01:001:01:001:01:001:01:001:01:0000:0000:00
trickster_cloakTrickster Cloak11.69%58.9100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%38:0038:0038:0038:0038:0038:0000:0000:00
ring_of_protectionRing of Protection11.69%57.8100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%34:5134:5134:5134:5134:5134:5100:0000:00
bucklerBuckler11.69%57.8100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%34:5134:5134:5134:5134:5134:5100:0000:00
ring_of_tarrasqueRing of Tarrasque11.69%55.6100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1:12:061:12:061:12:061:12:061:12:061:12:0600:0000:00
helm_of_iron_willHelm of Iron Will11.69%54.4100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%48:5348:5348:5348:5348:5348:5300:0000:00
aether_lensAether Lens11.69%53.3100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%14:0614:0614:0614:0614:0614:0600:0000:00
devastatorParasma11.69%52.2100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%34:5534:5534:5534:5534:5534:5500:0000:00
assaultAssault Cuirass11.69%51.1100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%35:1935:1935:1935:1935:1935:1900:0000:00
octarine_coreOctarine Core11.69%50.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%25:0725:0725:0725:0725:0725:0700:0000:00
timeless_relicTimeless Relic58.47%48.940.00%-2.59%+60.00%-40.00%-33.33%40:0038:0038:0039:0041:0044:0003:0002:13
travel_bootsBoots of Travel58.47%47.840.00%-2.59%+60.00%-40.00%-6.21%41:0226:3326:3339:5842:391:07:3516:0611:55
mysterious_hatFairy's Trinket58.47%46.740.00%-2.59%+60.00%-40.00%-33.33%11:3610:0010:0011:0013:0013:0003:0002:13
sphereLinken's Sphere58.47%45.640.00%-2.59%-40.00%-40.00%0.00%47:3328:4928:4942:561:02:411:04:0833:5225:05
grove_bowGrove Bow1322.03%44.423.08%-24.75%+10.25%+10.25%0.00%20:0518:0018:0019:0019:0027:0001:0000:44
lance_of_pursuitLance of Pursuit711.86%43.328.57%-15.66%-28.57%+21.43%10.00%12:1708:0009:0013:0014:0017:0005:0003:42
mind_breakerMind Breaker711.86%42.228.57%-15.66%-28.57%-28.57%0.00%40:5139:0039:0040:0041:0045:0002:0001:28
faded_broachFaded Broach813.56%41.125.00%-20.10%+25.00%-25.00%-12.50%13:3811:0011:0014:0015:0016:0004:0002:57
invis_swordShadow Blade23.39%40.050.00%+7.89%-50.00%0.00%0.00%22:2221:5821:5822:4522:4522:4500:4700:34
swift_blinkSwift Blink23.39%38.950.00%+7.89%+50.00%0.00%0.00%53:1749:1649:1657:1757:1757:1708:0105:56
pirate_hatPirate Hat23.39%37.850.00%+7.89%-50.00%0.00%0.00%1:01:301:01:001:01:001:02:001:02:001:02:0001:0000:44
lesser_critCrystalys23.39%36.750.00%+7.89%-50.00%0.00%0.00%40:0324:1324:1355:5355:5355:5331:4023:27
silver_edgeSilver Edge23.39%35.650.00%+7.89%-50.00%0.00%0.00%41:0925:5625:5656:2256:2256:2230:2622:32
ninja_gearNinja Gear23.39%34.450.00%+7.89%+50.00%0.00%0.00%42:0038:0038:0046:0046:0046:0008:0005:55
psychic_headbandPsychic Headband1016.95%33.320.00%-26.94%-20.00%-20.00%0.00%29:3628:0028:0028:0030:0037:0002:0001:28
mage_slayerMage Slayer35.08%32.233.33%-9.53%-33.33%0.00%0.00%36:2034:5834:5836:0338:0038:0003:0202:14
specialists_arraySpecialist's Array35.08%31.133.33%-9.53%+66.67%0.00%0.00%19:0019:0019:0019:0019:0019:0000:0000:00
gossamer_capeGossamer Cape35.08%30.033.33%-9.53%+66.67%0.00%0.00%21:4020:0020:0022:0023:0023:0003:0002:13
orchidOrchid Malevolence35.08%28.933.33%-9.53%-33.33%0.00%0.00%28:2316:3216:3233:5534:4134:4118:0913:26
bloodthornBloodthorn35.08%27.833.33%-9.53%-33.33%0.00%0.00%37:0035:5335:5336:2138:4638:4602:5302:08
ceremonial_robeCeremonial Robe46.78%26.725.00%-18.64%-25.00%-25.00%0.00%29:1528:0028:0029:0030:0030:0002:0001:28
pupils_giftPupil's Gift46.78%25.625.00%-18.64%-25.00%-25.00%0.00%21:0019:0019:0019:0022:0024:0003:0002:13
wind_laceWind Lace711.86%24.414.29%-31.86%-14.29%-14.29%0.00%21:2404:1808:2912:0136:2642:5527:5720:42
elven_tunicElven Tunic35.08%23.30.00%-44.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%29:4028:0028:0030:0031:0031:0003:0002:13
occult_braceletOccult Bracelet35.08%22.20.00%-44.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%12:0010:0010:0011:0015:0015:0005:0003:42
monkey_king_barMonkey King Bar11.69%21.10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1:02:371:02:371:02:371:02:371:02:371:02:3700:0000:00
duelist_glovesDuelist Gloves23.39%20.00.00%-43.86%0.00%0.00%0.00%13:0013:0013:0013:0013:0013:0000:0000:00
blight_stoneBlight Stone11.69%18.90.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%42:5542:5542:5542:5542:5542:5500:0000:00
travel_boots_2Boots of Travel 211.69%17.80.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%59:0559:0559:0559:0559:0559:0500:0000:00
ogre_seal_totemOgre Seal Totem11.69%16.70.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%30:0030:0030:0030:0030:0030:0000:0000:00
cycloneEul's Scepter of Divinity23.39%15.60.00%-43.86%0.00%0.00%0.00%36:5236:4036:4037:0337:0337:0300:2300:17
paladin_swordPaladin Sword11.69%14.40.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%29:0029:0029:0029:0029:0029:0000:0000:00
medallion_of_courageMedallion of Courage11.69%13.30.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%42:5542:5542:5542:5542:5542:5500:0000:00
titan_sliverTitan Sliver11.69%12.20.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%29:0029:0029:0029:0029:0029:0000:0000:00
vampire_fangsVampire Fangs11.69%11.10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%18:0018:0018:0018:0018:0018:0000:0000:00
wind_wakerWind Waker11.69%10.00.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%43:5143:5143:5143:5143:5143:5100:0000:00
javelinJavelin11.69%8.90.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1:02:161:02:161:02:161:02:161:02:161:02:1600:0000:00
ring_of_aquilaRing of Aquila11.69%7.80.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%19:0019:0019:0019:0019:0019:0000:0000:00
spell_prismSpell Prism23.39%6.70.00%-43.86%0.00%0.00%0.00%40:0038:0038:0042:0042:0042:0004:0002:57
spy_gadgetTelescope23.39%5.60.00%-43.86%0.00%0.00%0.00%43:0043:0043:0043:0043:0043:0000:0000:00
tranquil_bootsTranquil Boots11.69%4.40.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%04:1804:1804:1804:1804:1804:1800:0000:00
trusty_shovelTrusty Shovel23.39%3.30.00%-43.86%0.00%0.00%0.00%12:0012:0012:0012:0012:0012:0000:0000:00
demoniconBook of the Dead11.69%2.20.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1:02:001:02:001:02:001:02:001:02:001:02:0000:0000:00
ex_machinaEx Machina11.69%1.10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1:01:001:01:001:01:001:01:001:01:001:01:0000:0000:00