Spectral Stats - Top 2500 Meta Trends - Last Week - Heroes

Explain this to me

Here you can see how winrates of the heroes change with match duration. Early winrate is calculated based on top 25% shortest games (duration less than Q1 - Early duration) and late winrate is based on top 25% longest games (duration higher than Q3 - Late duration). Gradient represents how chances to win change with every minute of the game.

Remove low matches (1964)

ColumnsDurationWinrateChart

		Duration					Winrate
Hero	Matches	Early (Q1)	Median	Late (Q3)	Mean	Std.dev	Early	Mean	Late	Gradient	Chart
Anti-Mage	1449	26:42	32:48	40:04	33:38	09:52	28.65%	44.24%	53.99%	1.90%
Axe	7911	27:56	33:57	41:04	34:39	10:00	54.79%	53.13%	52.63%	-0.16%
Bane	1543	26:48	32:29	39:48	33:32	09:47	50.39%	50.42%	53.63%	0.25%
Bloodseeker	505	29:53	35:11	41:41	36:09	09:47	40.16%	45.54%	52.76%	1.07%
Crystal Maiden	3266	27:04	33:05	40:19	33:58	10:12	51.77%	49.14%	50.31%	-0.11%
Drow Ranger	1525	29:00	35:19	41:45	35:50	10:10	37.43%	43.54%	46.07%	0.68%
Earthshaker	2313	28:10	34:26	41:35	35:01	10:08	48.01%	48.12%	48.62%	0.05%
Juggernaut	4859	27:39	33:23	40:02	34:01	09:23	43.48%	48.03%	50.21%	0.54%
Mirana	1148	26:16	32:43	39:49	33:11	09:49	25.26%	41.03%	49.83%	1.81%
Morphling	1381	26:33	32:37	39:23	33:06	09:57	31.61%	42.00%	52.74%	1.65%
Shadow Fiend	6844	27:00	33:13	40:26	33:54	10:07	54.26%	49.34%	48.74%	-0.41%
Phantom Lancer	1093	27:51	33:57	41:30	35:04	10:45	50.00%	48.40%	44.53%	-0.40%
Puck	1531	27:16	33:47	40:17	34:14	09:33	44.65%	46.31%	49.35%	0.36%
Pudge	8627	27:17	33:21	40:16	33:58	09:51	51.51%	49.07%	47.18%	-0.33%
Razor	3068	27:46	34:06	41:10	34:40	10:03	45.18%	44.85%	49.22%	0.30%
Sand King	8563	28:09	33:50	40:37	34:32	09:37	48.44%	54.30%	58.18%	0.78%
Storm Spirit	7154	27:17	33:15	40:04	33:57	09:47	51.40%	51.48%	54.72%	0.26%
Sven	631	26:56	32:41	39:52	33:28	09:58	36.08%	42.79%	43.67%	0.59%
Tiny	10341	27:27	33:23	40:04	33:59	09:38	52.25%	49.75%	44.36%	-0.63%
Vengeful Spirit	4905	26:42	32:48	39:55	33:24	09:34	45.00%	50.42%	51.10%	0.46%
Windranger	3937	27:38	33:43	40:51	34:28	10:09	50.66%	49.73%	48.84%	-0.14%
Zeus	10113	28:02	34:15	41:17	34:53	10:08	61.50%	53.55%	46.95%	-1.10%
Kunkka	551	27:38	34:09	40:02	34:22	09:57	35.51%	43.74%	44.93%	0.76%
Lina	1909	27:18	33:35	40:32	34:13	09:58	40.59%	46.10%	46.44%	0.44%
Lion	2792	28:24	34:27	41:17	35:01	09:48	43.92%	46.85%	51.43%	0.58%
Shadow Shaman	7878	27:24	33:16	40:16	34:01	09:44	59.71%	55.38%	53.42%	-0.49%
Slardar	4817	26:56	32:57	39:48	33:32	09:46	49.46%	50.24%	51.20%	0.14%
Tidehunter	812	27:24	33:53	40:26	34:10	09:44	39.22%	45.32%	49.26%	0.77%
Witch Doctor	2280	28:50	35:01	41:36	35:38	09:45	46.33%	50.75%	52.54%	0.49%
Lich	2263	28:51	34:42	41:34	35:27	09:46	45.41%	50.82%	51.06%	0.44%
Riki	518	27:43	33:58	41:28	34:38	10:27	43.51%	45.37%	49.23%	0.42%
Enigma	1054	26:31	32:59	40:33	33:35	10:25	61.36%	54.27%	49.62%	-0.84%
Tinker	842	28:01	34:40	41:55	35:09	10:43	27.01%	40.50%	48.58%	1.55%
Sniper	1088	28:41	35:36	43:06	36:02	10:44	46.52%	45.04%	37.50%	-0.63%
Necrophos	2248	28:00	34:07	41:00	34:43	09:42	41.39%	47.11%	50.36%	0.69%
Warlock	1890	28:02	34:03	40:48	34:46	09:54	46.30%	46.88%	45.24%	-0.08%
Beastmaster	721	25:06	31:53	38:32	32:25	09:41	50.28%	47.57%	48.62%	-0.12%
Queen of Pain	2035	29:07	35:07	41:49	35:43	09:56	36.20%	45.70%	52.46%	1.28%
Venomancer	9081	28:09	34:08	41:04	34:46	09:55	53.30%	53.08%	49.27%	-0.31%
Faceless Void	2279	28:13	34:13	41:04	34:44	09:43	36.13%	48.71%	60.53%	1.90%
Wraith King	5052	27:40	33:52	40:55	34:30	10:01	47.20%	48.95%	49.25%	0.15%
Death Prophet	738	27:11	32:45	40:01	33:44	09:59	43.24%	44.58%	46.49%	0.25%
Phantom Assassin	544	27:44	33:12	40:01	33:54	09:51	39.42%	43.01%	50.74%	0.92%
Pugna	1540	26:41	33:05	39:47	33:27	10:08	53.75%	49.09%	46.75%	-0.53%
Templar Assassin	6450	26:15	32:17	39:32	32:59	09:57	66.60%	54.68%	47.55%	-1.43%
Viper	1135	27:45	34:35	41:48	34:53	10:29	41.20%	42.82%	41.90%	0.05%
Luna	1381	26:30	32:20	39:19	33:00	09:51	49.42%	46.05%	47.69%	-0.13%
Dragon Knight	6181	26:48	32:37	39:32	33:21	09:45	56.40%	50.44%	45.15%	-0.88%
Dazzle	1093	26:54	33:07	39:23	33:22	09:34	46.35%	47.30%	52.19%	0.47%
Clockwerk	5393	27:12	33:30	40:35	34:08	09:55	58.03%	52.33%	50.04%	-0.60%
Leshrac	3749	27:14	33:07	39:52	33:46	09:41	48.03%	52.49%	55.76%	0.61%
Nature's Prophet	1326	24:00	31:54	39:15	31:35	11:05	20.72%	38.76%	49.25%	1.87%
Lifestealer	5149	27:48	33:43	40:33	34:21	09:36	46.39%	53.41%	54.50%	0.64%
Dark Seer	1885	27:18	33:51	40:48	34:40	10:15	51.80%	53.90%	51.27%	-0.04%
Clinkz	1758	26:57	33:34	40:18	33:56	09:56	49.55%	49.54%	48.86%	-0.05%
Omniknight	271	27:09	33:06	39:52	33:42	10:03	32.35%	40.22%	44.12%	0.93%
Enchantress	1231	26:48	33:15	40:44	33:50	10:12	55.19%	47.03%	46.75%	-0.61%
Huskar	778	25:03	31:37	37:53	31:33	09:57	38.97%	42.80%	44.10%	0.40%
Night Stalker	3707	26:56	32:58	39:57	33:34	09:49	52.54%	52.12%	53.71%	0.09%
Broodmother	1252	23:34	29:53	36:32	30:43	09:51	59.55%	52.80%	41.53%	-1.39%
Bounty Hunter	2606	27:21	32:41	39:22	33:34	09:27	51.23%	53.18%	53.91%	0.22%
Weaver	7674	26:54	33:10	40:22	33:50	10:00	56.66%	52.98%	52.94%	-0.28%
Jakiro	1702	28:36	34:41	41:17	35:24	10:07	46.01%	44.48%	47.54%	0.12%
Batrider	2156	26:28	32:55	39:56	33:28	10:00	44.36%	44.20%	46.48%	0.16%
Chen	421	24:58	30:38	36:45	31:19	09:26	41.12%	48.46%	51.89%	0.91%
Spectre	718	29:08	34:55	42:00	35:37	10:17	34.44%	43.31%	52.78%	1.43%
Ancient Apparition	1596	29:08	35:28	42:22	36:00	10:09	47.75%	48.87%	49.12%	0.10%
Doom	1937	28:13	34:11	41:22	34:56	10:00	40.45%	44.61%	51.13%	0.81%
Ursa	5800	27:41	33:51	40:59	34:35	10:08	48.24%	51.21%	55.66%	0.56%
Spirit Breaker	6018	26:49	32:51	39:48	33:31	09:47	53.19%	51.03%	50.63%	-0.20%
Gyrocopter	2078	28:06	33:55	40:42	34:30	09:34	47.60%	47.45%	47.31%	-0.02%
Alchemist	1093	26:51	33:00	39:24	33:15	09:41	49.09%	49.31%	47.45%	-0.13%
Invoker	2275	27:37	33:44	41:11	34:25	09:58	40.07%	45.49%	46.57%	0.48%
Silencer	2898	28:13	34:11	41:21	34:54	09:46	34.62%	48.03%	58.68%	1.83%
Outworld Destroyer	1735	28:45	34:50	41:35	35:26	09:45	37.47%	48.99%	51.26%	1.07%
Lycan	862	26:21	32:19	38:42	32:55	09:43	47.69%	48.72%	48.15%	0.04%
Brewmaster	1054	26:57	33:00	40:41	34:05	10:17	54.55%	54.17%	52.08%	-0.18%
Shadow Demon	1714	28:23	34:03	40:29	34:30	09:37	45.69%	48.54%	52.21%	0.54%
Lone Druid	660	23:10	30:10	37:13	30:44	10:40	51.20%	51.21%	52.73%	0.11%
Chaos Knight	4145	26:31	32:47	40:16	33:29	09:56	51.01%	51.56%	49.66%	-0.10%
Meepo	1532	25:51	31:01	37:27	31:40	09:03	50.39%	52.15%	52.60%	0.19%
Treant Protector	2011	26:23	32:52	40:12	33:39	10:19	55.27%	52.51%	47.02%	-0.60%
Ogre Magi	2204	27:46	33:17	40:09	33:57	09:21	48.64%	48.55%	48.19%	-0.04%
Undying	1726	26:52	32:18	39:20	33:24	09:50	53.94%	51.91%	49.77%	-0.33%
Rubick	5369	27:44	33:52	40:47	34:32	10:05	52.75%	49.06%	47.25%	-0.42%
Disruptor	3706	27:18	33:30	40:38	34:15	09:44	47.68%	50.27%	51.24%	0.27%
Nyx Assassin	3388	27:53	33:55	40:50	34:35	09:56	38.04%	45.48%	49.35%	0.87%
Naga Siren	521	26:32	32:39	39:35	33:11	10:02	42.42%	48.37%	50.38%	0.61%
Keeper of the Light	1257	26:37	32:49	39:33	33:32	10:14	48.57%	47.18%	46.03%	-0.20%
Io	1991	24:01	30:33	36:49	31:02	09:50	52.21%	48.37%	44.69%	-0.59%
Visage	996	24:51	30:46	37:34	31:26	09:22	65.60%	55.32%	45.78%	-1.56%
Slark	1964	27:07	33:31	40:28	34:04	10:25	43.09%	45.77%	51.93%	0.66%
Medusa	686	27:39	33:51	40:47	34:36	10:28	45.93%	48.83%	55.23%	0.71%
Troll Warlord	2196	26:04	31:51	38:47	32:41	09:24	48.00%	50.00%	53.19%	0.41%
Centaur Warrunner	5076	27:53	33:58	40:39	34:28	09:44	45.68%	50.24%	55.00%	0.73%
Magnus	1370	27:27	33:26	40:18	34:09	09:58	41.69%	43.72%	44.31%	0.20%
Timbersaw	3438	27:31	33:26	40:38	34:10	09:45	40.88%	45.46%	49.42%	0.65%
Bristleback	486	26:07	32:36	39:53	33:08	09:49	17.21%	34.16%	44.26%	1.96%
Tusk	1494	26:29	32:46	39:43	33:21	09:55	38.13%	40.70%	45.60%	0.56%
Skywrath Mage	2213	28:18	34:16	41:03	34:53	09:45	50.09%	49.30%	46.93%	-0.25%
Abaddon	2253	26:49	32:40	39:17	33:25	09:21	55.67%	51.35%	48.58%	-0.57%
Elder Titan	811	27:39	34:22	42:05	34:58	10:37	47.78%	49.45%	49.51%	0.12%
Legion Commander	5813	27:15	33:17	40:16	33:59	09:47	54.86%	49.84%	43.27%	-0.89%
Techies	1608	27:23	33:41	40:55	34:18	10:28	39.26%	43.22%	44.28%	0.37%
Ember Spirit	2401	27:20	33:49	41:03	34:18	10:01	46.92%	49.10%	49.58%	0.19%
Earth Spirit	1397	26:54	33:01	40:31	33:35	09:59	50.57%	48.75%	48.57%	-0.15%
Underlord	1406	28:03	33:51	40:53	34:44	10:07	49.72%	50.92%	49.86%	0.01%
Terrorblade	828	25:40	33:09	40:25	33:09	10:31	41.83%	44.32%	43.48%	0.11%
Phoenix	7577	27:48	33:56	40:46	34:36	09:52	62.01%	53.66%	47.45%	-1.12%
Oracle	2396	26:51	32:53	39:46	33:36	09:47	48.17%	53.71%	53.26%	0.39%
Winter Wyvern	3544	26:58	33:05	40:25	33:50	10:06	53.38%	53.33%	48.87%	-0.34%
Arc Warden	509	24:21	31:11	39:37	32:16	10:44	50.78%	56.19%	56.25%	0.36%
Monkey King	2497	27:20	33:50	41:07	34:20	10:30	44.89%	50.02%	49.92%	0.36%
Dark Willow	6787	28:02	34:05	41:03	34:53	10:06	58.78%	54.43%	51.29%	-0.58%
Pangolier	765	26:47	32:43	39:35	33:35	09:38	43.23%	40.13%	39.58%	-0.29%
Grimstroke	1579	27:37	33:23	40:33	34:18	10:10	44.30%	46.99%	54.43%	0.78%
Hoodwink	4589	27:17	33:30	40:42	34:10	10:00	51.83%	49.20%	49.17%	-0.20%
Void Spirit	3772	27:27	33:03	40:34	34:03	09:49	47.25%	50.98%	52.60%	0.41%
Snapfire	1782	27:25	33:34	40:21	34:18	10:02	40.18%	42.26%	46.64%	0.50%
Mars	2825	27:38	33:55	41:04	34:34	09:45	40.59%	44.88%	49.08%	0.63%
Dawnbreaker	1049	27:39	33:19	40:30	34:22	09:49	50.76%	51.29%	52.47%	0.13%
Marci	2268	25:36	31:53	38:57	32:31	09:54	53.87%	49.51%	47.62%	-0.47%
Primal Beast	2106	27:03	33:21	40:18	33:52	09:58	55.79%	50.33%	51.33%	-0.34%
Muerta	1064	27:31	34:00	41:18	34:30	09:59	48.31%	48.59%	50.56%	0.16%

Top 2500 Meta Trends - Last Week

Immortal Rank Top-50% (2500 rank, ~8k+ MMR) stats for the past 7 days, data provided by Stratz.com

Average wards placed per game by Dire: 14.9593