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Road to TI12 Group Stage - Day 3 - Seeding Decider

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Total couriers killed: 18

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Items category:
Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
Columns
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
ItemPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxWindowStd.Dev
refresherRefresher Orb66.67%100.0100.00%+54.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%47:1336:1939:1441:5755:1959:4916:0511:54
ultimate_scepterAghanim's Scepter2224.44%99.072.73%+38.21%+10.60%-12.73%-1.95%31:1314:3323:4332:3135:4151:3511:5808:51
javelinJavelin88.89%98.187.50%+42.26%-37.50%+12.50%2.22%28:2508:2911:1330:3933:4247:1322:2916:39
yasha_and_kayaYasha and Kaya55.56%97.1100.00%+53.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%43:0233:2433:2437:2154:4855:1921:2415:51
void_stoneVoid Stone3842.22%96.160.53%+33.37%-20.53%-4.97%0.77%28:3209:1216:5925:3237:1953:5720:2015:03
yashaYasha1213.33%95.175.00%+31.10%-41.67%+25.00%3.53%25:3609:5614:2021:4433:1354:4818:5313:59
black_king_barBlack King Bar3640.00%94.258.33%+29.06%-2.77%-25.00%-1.96%28:4617:3620:3128:1531:5251:2811:2108:24
magic_stickMagic Stick8291.11%93.251.22%+47.52%+5.92%+8.78%0.86%02:14-01:29-01:2801:2904:4716:3106:1504:37
bootsBoots of Speed90100.00%92.250.00%+50.00%+6.52%-4.55%-4.55%05:2601:3903:4905:0306:1523:4702:2601:48
magic_wandMagic Wand7987.78%91.350.63%+44.46%-0.63%+4.37%0.90%07:09-01:2903:5106:1009:2524:0305:3404:07
wind_wakerWind Waker44.44%90.3100.00%+52.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%41:0834:5134:5137:4743:0848:4708:1706:08
arcane_bootsArcane Boots2123.33%89.361.90%+22.88%-1.90%+38.10%9.64%12:2505:4008:2811:0412:3731:4704:0903:04
phase_bootsPhase Boots1921.11%88.363.16%+22.92%-3.16%-3.16%0.00%09:4904:4906:1007:5209:3728:4203:2702:33
quelling_bladeQuelling Blade3033.33%87.456.67%+22.10%-6.67%+14.76%21.43%-01:14-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2805:5500:0100:00
chainmailChainmail3336.67%86.454.55%+21.22%+7.95%-17.05%-4.05%10:1801:2206:0508:4512:1528:1806:1004:34
wraith_bandWraith Band1617.78%85.462.50%+19.82%+37.50%+12.50%-1.10%11:0901:3001:3703:1624:1827:5422:4116:48
aghanims_shardAghanim's Shard3437.78%84.552.94%+19.61%-19.61%-2.94%1.17%26:1215:0117:5622:2932:1157:5814:1510:33
cycloneEul's Scepter of Divinity1011.11%83.570.00%+24.76%+30.00%-20.00%-2.35%31:1918:3621:5223:0743:0853:4921:1615:45
blinkBlink Dagger3741.11%82.548.65%+15.32%-15.32%+6.91%1.51%25:4409:3516:0721:5530:5249:3114:4510:55
octarine_coreOctarine Core1314.44%81.661.54%+16.42%+5.13%+5.13%0.00%34:0415:3221:4231:3137:201:05:2615:3811:34
aether_lensAether Lens1112.22%80.663.64%+18.40%-30.31%+36.36%3.30%27:4310:3917:1826:4137:3141:2620:1314:58
monkey_king_barMonkey King Bar33.33%79.6100.00%+51.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%31:3328:4228:4231:3334:2334:2305:4104:12
aeon_diskAeon Disk33.33%78.6100.00%+51.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%40:2031:5131:5137:3651:3451:3419:4314:36
power_treadsPower Treads3235.56%77.746.88%+9.84%-21.88%+3.12%7.39%07:4604:3505:2106:2608:4423:4703:2302:30
bracerBracer1415.56%76.757.14%+12.56%+17.86%-23.81%-37.32%02:3401:0602:0002:2103:0704:3101:0700:49
cornucopiaCornucopia2730.00%75.748.15%+9.13%+8.99%+8.99%0.00%33:2907:2324:4033:2841:5459:4917:1412:45
ring_of_basiliusRing of Basilius55.56%74.880.00%+32.33%+20.00%+20.00%0.00%07:2203:1403:1406:4607:4912:1704:3503:23
mjollnirMjollnir55.56%73.880.00%+32.33%+20.00%+20.00%0.00%37:2521:0421:0436:0438:5255:1917:4813:11
maelstromMaelstrom55.56%72.880.00%+32.33%+20.00%+20.00%0.00%28:3112:1212:1233:4234:4547:1322:3316:42
kayaKaya1213.33%71.858.33%+11.99%-25.00%+8.34%2.15%32:4619:5021:4030:3137:1154:4615:3111:29
hand_of_midasHand of Midas2022.22%70.950.00%+6.79%-10.00%-10.00%0.00%16:5109:5410:5613:4119:5335:4308:5706:37
bottleBottle1516.67%69.953.33%+7.65%+21.67%-3.33%-25.00%01:2400:5601:1701:2401:2901:4400:1200:08
sangeSange1011.11%68.960.00%+13.01%-26.67%-10.00%1.44%30:1517:2025:0428:2836:4045:5511:3608:35
ring_of_protectionRing of Protection2527.78%68.044.00%+2.02%+6.00%+6.00%0.00%11:36-01:29-01:2806:5113:1747:4314:4510:55
blade_mailBlade Mail1112.22%67.054.55%+7.56%-21.22%+12.12%18.35%14:3810:1511:4213:0313:3127:0301:4901:20
sheepstickScythe of Vyse66.67%66.066.67%+17.86%+33.33%-66.67%0.00%40:4122:0832:2835:3750:4553:2818:1713:32
armletArmlet of Mordiggian66.67%65.066.67%+18.43%-16.67%+33.33%0.00%12:2010:0210:3212:2012:4815:3902:1601:40
lesser_critCrystalys910.00%64.155.56%+7.94%-55.56%-5.56%2.79%34:1418:3820:5134:1138:4650:3017:5513:16
dragon_lanceDragon Lance910.00%63.155.56%+7.37%-5.56%-5.56%0.00%17:5909:0810:3715:0523:3235:2212:5509:34
lotus_orbLotus Orb44.44%62.175.00%+26.72%+25.00%-75.00%0.00%29:4424:5224:5227:0328:4038:2003:4802:48
radianceRadiance44.44%61.275.00%+26.72%+25.00%-75.00%0.00%19:5617:1117:1118:0721:5322:3404:4203:28
ultimate_scepter_2Aghanim's Blessing44.44%60.275.00%+26.72%-75.00%+25.00%0.00%49:0043:2743:2746:4151:4654:0608:1906:09
wind_laceWind Lace3336.67%59.236.36%-4.38%+1.14%+1.14%0.00%11:33-01:2906:4110:5516:1523:5809:3407:05
heartHeart of Tarrasque1314.44%58.346.15%-1.41%-12.82%+20.52%5.57%25:4018:3221:2725:3627:2639:1105:5904:25
rod_of_atosRod of Atos22.22%57.3100.00%+51.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%19:0714:4114:4123:3223:3223:3208:5106:33
veil_of_discordVeil of Discord22.22%56.3100.00%+51.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%12:4112:1712:1713:0413:0413:0400:4700:34
moon_shardMoon Shard22.22%55.3100.00%+51.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%33:1830:2130:2136:1536:1536:1505:5404:22
ancient_janggoDrum of Endurance22.22%54.4100.00%+51.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%15:1412:2012:2018:0818:0818:0805:4804:17
invis_swordShadow Blade1011.11%53.450.00%+2.38%-50.00%0.00%6.88%33:1917:0529:1033:5436:2652:1007:1605:22
mantaManta Style77.78%52.457.14%+8.33%-57.14%+42.86%15.27%20:4913:2316:3820:0623:1128:2106:3304:51
silver_edgeSilver Edge77.78%51.557.14%+8.90%-57.14%+42.86%8.29%32:1319:1524:2334:1136:2740:1112:0408:56
assaultAssault Cuirass77.78%50.557.14%+8.33%-7.14%+42.86%4.72%38:2826:2230:2136:0640:5755:4710:3607:51
bucklerBuckler77.78%49.557.14%+8.33%+42.86%+42.86%0.00%36:3525:3929:5531:4235:4255:2805:4704:17
force_staffForce Staff1718.89%48.541.18%-4.60%-16.18%+33.82%4.20%30:0320:2622:5431:1934:4840:0111:5408:48
crownCrown1112.22%47.645.45%-3.33%+54.55%-45.45%-24.49%11:2306:5408:1210:0912:1718:1004:0503:01
sphereLinken's Sphere1516.67%46.640.00%-6.43%+35.00%-40.00%-5.95%34:1415:1127:0231:0139:3856:3112:3609:20
ring_of_healthRing of Health88.89%45.650.00%+1.76%0.00%-50.00%-2.56%13:2302:0102:1003:0221:4038:1319:3014:26
hurricane_pikeHurricane Pike88.89%44.750.00%+1.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%29:2921:0623:0326:4534:4836:1211:4508:42
kaya_and_sangeKaya and Sange88.89%43.750.00%+1.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%31:4022:0225:0128:4137:3046:1412:2909:14
ghostGhost Scepter55.56%42.760.00%+11.16%+40.00%-60.00%0.00%34:4619:0819:0833:2343:1056:0624:0217:48
overwhelming_blinkOverwhelming Blink55.56%41.760.00%+11.72%+40.00%+40.00%0.00%46:0833:1133:1143:2148:451:05:2615:3411:31
fluffy_hatFluffy Hat2527.78%40.832.00%-13.68%+1.33%+18.00%1.04%19:1604:1610:0115:4326:0738:5516:0611:55
helm_of_iron_willHelm of Iron Will910.00%39.844.44%-4.96%+5.56%-44.44%-2.79%18:1608:3508:3511:1926:3243:1117:5713:17
urn_of_shadowsUrn of Shadows910.00%38.844.44%-4.96%+5.56%-44.44%-12.20%08:0504:3605:2907:0809:3514:4004:0603:02
echo_sabreEcho Sabre66.67%37.950.00%+0.59%-50.00%+50.00%0.00%15:5711:2013:2914:3316:2024:2302:5102:06
vanguardVanguard66.67%36.950.00%+1.16%0.00%-50.00%0.00%10:1704:5105:1505:2106:1934:0801:0400:47
mage_slayerMage Slayer33.33%35.966.67%+17.81%+33.33%0.00%0.00%49:2442:2942:2952:4652:5652:5610:2707:44
bloodthornBloodthorn33.33%35.066.67%+17.81%+33.33%0.00%0.00%49:4042:4242:4252:5753:2153:2110:3907:53
glimmer_capeGlimmer Cape1314.44%34.030.77%-18.63%+35.90%+2.56%-6.03%27:2216:1523:2526:2828:5741:3905:3204:05
witch_bladeWitch Blade44.44%33.050.00%0.00%+50.00%+50.00%0.00%12:5712:3112:3112:4613:0813:2200:3700:27
shivas_guardShiva's Guard44.44%32.050.00%0.00%-50.00%-50.00%0.00%36:4727:3527:3533:5439:5045:4712:1509:04
orchidOrchid Malevolence44.44%31.150.00%+0.57%-50.00%+50.00%0.00%40:4416:5916:5942:4250:1752:5733:1824:40
travel_bootsBoots of Travel910.00%30.133.33%-16.67%+16.67%-33.33%-2.53%45:1623:5635:3547:2755:1955:1919:4414:37
bloodstoneBloodstone11.11%29.1100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%19:2919:2919:2919:2919:2919:2900:0000:00
sange_and_yashaSange and Yasha11.11%28.2100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%25:1425:1425:1425:1425:1425:1400:0000:00
soul_ringSoul Ring55.56%27.240.00%-10.59%-40.00%+60.00%0.00%09:5205:3105:3109:5812:3413:3507:0305:13
skadiEye of Skadi55.56%26.240.00%-10.00%-40.00%-40.00%0.00%26:0522:5422:5424:4328:3130:4205:3704:09
spirit_vesselSpirit Vessel66.67%25.233.33%-17.86%+16.67%-33.33%0.00%14:1011:0511:4912:4814:1421:3602:2501:47
swift_blinkSwift Blink22.22%24.350.00%0.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%56:5348:1948:191:05:261:05:261:05:2617:0712:40
greater_critDaedalus22.22%23.350.00%0.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%48:0444:5744:5751:1051:1051:1006:1304:36
blight_stoneBlight Stone1213.33%22.316.67%-35.14%+16.66%+16.66%0.00%07:04-01:29-00:3302:3813:2320:2913:5610:19
tranquil_bootsTranquil Boots1314.44%21.415.38%-37.06%+51.29%-15.38%-7.68%13:1304:1508:0010:3416:4127:2908:4106:25
butterflyButterfly33.33%20.433.33%-17.24%-33.33%0.00%0.00%32:3827:3727:3734:5335:2535:2507:4805:46
solar_crestSolar Crest33.33%19.433.33%-17.24%+66.67%0.00%0.00%16:3010:1910:1918:2120:5020:5010:3107:47
satanicSatanic33.33%18.433.33%-16.67%-33.33%0.00%0.00%32:1920:0820:0833:2143:2743:2723:1917:16
bfuryBattle Fury33.33%17.533.33%-17.24%-33.33%0.00%0.00%14:1913:3513:3514:1115:1115:1101:3601:11
harpoonHarpoon33.33%16.533.33%-17.24%-33.33%0.00%0.00%34:1822:5622:5636:0443:5343:5320:5715:31
diademDiadem33.33%15.533.33%-17.24%-33.33%0.00%0.00%33:0920:4920:4934:4843:4943:4923:0017:02
medallion_of_courageMedallion of Courage44.44%14.625.00%-26.16%+75.00%-25.00%0.00%11:4907:3807:3811:4313:2314:3305:4504:15
lifestealMorbid Mask44.44%13.625.00%-25.57%-25.00%-25.00%0.00%22:4805:4105:4113:4530:3641:1124:5518:27
desolatorDesolator55.56%12.620.00%-31.16%-20.00%-20.00%0.00%21:1514:5014:5023:1124:2525:5009:3507:05
headdressHeaddress11.11%11.70.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%22:1022:1022:1022:1022:1022:1000:0000:00
null_talismanNull Talisman11.11%10.70.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%03:2003:2003:2003:2003:2003:2000:0000:00
basherSkull Basher22.22%9.70.00%-51.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%29:5326:0926:0933:3733:3733:3707:2805:31
nullifierNullifier33.33%8.70.00%-51.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%37:1931:2031:2032:1348:2448:2417:0412:38
orb_of_corrosionOrb of Corrosion33.33%7.80.00%-51.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%05:4504:3904:3905:1607:2107:2102:4202:00
diffusal_bladeDiffusal Blade33.33%6.80.00%-51.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%10:3807:5807:5810:4613:0913:0905:1103:50
dagonDagon11.11%5.80.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%28:2928:2928:2928:2928:2928:2900:0000:00
orb_of_venomOrb of Venom33.33%4.90.00%-51.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%04:4804:1604:1604:3605:3105:3101:1500:55
abyssal_bladeAbyssal Blade11.11%3.90.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%34:5034:5034:5034:5034:5034:5000:0000:00
pipePipe of Insight11.11%2.90.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%22:4322:4322:4322:4322:4322:4300:0000:00
travel_boots_2Boots of Travel 222.22%1.90.00%-51.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%55:1955:1355:1355:2455:2455:2400:1100:08
mask_of_madnessMask of Madness11.11%1.00.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%07:5007:5007:5007:5007:5007:5000:0000:00