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Road to TI12 Group Stage - Day 4 - Seeding Decider

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Total buybacks: 36

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Items category:
Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
Columns
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
ItemPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxWindowStd.Dev
lotus_orbLotus Orb55.56%100.0100.00%+53.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%33:2725:4725:4736:2137:4140:0711:5408:48
butterflyButterfly55.56%99.1100.00%+52.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%27:1620:4920:4926:5527:3036:3106:4104:57
ring_of_protectionRing of Protection2426.67%98.166.67%+30.87%+33.33%-33.34%-2.77%13:17-01:29-01:2807:4025:3247:1427:0020:00
force_staffForce Staff1921.11%97.268.42%+29.40%+11.58%-28.42%-7.34%26:1714:4721:4524:1027:1254:2805:2704:02
blinkBlink Dagger3134.44%96.361.29%+29.19%+1.21%-11.29%-1.33%22:4611:1017:2519:1626:4746:0609:2206:56
void_stoneVoid Stone3336.67%95.360.61%+29.75%-10.61%+14.39%1.48%26:2808:3618:3323:2835:2553:4416:5212:29
aghanims_shardAghanim's Shard3437.78%94.458.82%+27.96%+18.96%-8.82%-2.00%27:2915:3819:1126:5833:0355:1413:5210:16
magic_stickMagic Stick8190.00%93.551.85%+48.15%-6.85%+13.15%7.45%02:26-01:29-01:2902:1204:1021:1405:3904:11
fluffy_hatFluffy Hat2628.89%92.561.54%+25.74%-18.68%+5.13%1.98%18:0004:1210:5514:2722:5854:2812:0308:55
bootsBoots of Speed8695.56%91.651.16%+49.93%+7.93%-13.06%-6.63%05:1301:4703:1204:5506:2211:1603:1002:20
satanicSatanic44.44%90.7100.00%+52.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%28:1824:4624:4627:4229:1431:2904:2803:18
travel_boots_2Boots of Travel 244.44%89.7100.00%+52.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%41:0632:4132:4138:5045:1847:3612:3709:20
magic_wandMagic Wand7785.56%88.850.65%+43.24%+7.24%-3.28%-1.91%07:18-01:3004:1206:3109:4321:1405:3104:05
ring_of_healthRing of Health1617.78%87.962.50%+19.82%-37.50%+12.50%1.77%20:3901:3803:1822:2531:3640:0128:1820:57
power_treadsPower Treads2527.78%86.956.00%+17.73%+10.67%-22.67%-23.53%06:2604:3105:2206:1906:4709:5301:2501:02
yashaYasha88.89%86.075.00%+28.57%+25.00%-25.00%-3.36%20:2008:3112:2812:5027:2039:5914:5211:00
mantaManta Style88.89%85.075.00%+28.57%+25.00%-25.00%-2.96%23:3612:3614:3315:5631:2840:2416:5512:31
black_king_barBlack King Bar3640.00%84.150.00%+16.67%+16.67%-5.56%-2.67%25:0416:3920:0125:4928:2132:5908:2006:10
chainmailChainmail3437.78%83.250.00%+15.43%-16.67%+37.50%5.93%12:2303:1706:5509:3516:0331:1209:0806:45
arcane_bootsArcane Boots2730.00%82.251.85%+13.58%+19.58%+19.58%0.00%11:2405:0908:1609:4112:5724:0504:4103:28
bucklerBuckler1314.44%81.361.54%+16.42%+5.13%-28.21%-2.04%31:0713:0922:0329:1938:2347:1416:2012:05
refresherRefresher Orb1112.22%80.463.64%+18.93%+3.03%+3.03%0.00%44:4933:2841:5143:2047:5454:3006:0304:28
ghostGhost Scepter33.33%79.4100.00%+51.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%31:0725:0325:0332:5235:2535:2510:2207:40
overwhelming_blinkOverwhelming Blink33.33%78.5100.00%+51.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%36:5426:5026:5039:3844:1444:1417:2412:53
mekansmMekansm33.33%77.6100.00%+51.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%25:4624:0724:0725:4927:2227:2203:1502:24
sheepstickScythe of Vyse33.33%76.6100.00%+51.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%33:5227:5527:5533:4739:5339:5311:5808:51
assaultAssault Cuirass910.00%75.766.67%+19.11%-16.67%-16.67%0.00%33:4122:5927:1131:1938:2347:2211:1208:17
radianceRadiance77.78%74.871.43%+24.37%+28.57%+28.57%0.00%17:1412:3114:2815:5019:3922:1505:1103:50
urn_of_shadowsUrn of Shadows77.78%73.871.43%+23.81%+28.57%+28.57%0.00%07:2805:0105:5006:5608:5110:1803:0102:14
cornucopiaCornucopia1415.56%72.957.14%+12.56%+17.86%+9.53%-0.79%38:1909:0032:4339:3643:1254:1610:2907:45
shivas_guardShiva's Guard55.56%72.080.00%+32.33%-80.00%+20.00%0.00%31:1221:3221:3230:4234:1947:2612:4709:28
tranquil_bootsTranquil Boots1718.89%71.052.94%+8.50%+47.06%-52.94%-14.12%12:2704:4208:2010:2615:2531:2407:0505:14
ultimate_scepterAghanim's Scepter2831.11%70.146.43%+6.92%-3.57%-32.14%-1.90%29:1213:1121:3926:3236:4248:1815:0311:08
quelling_bladeQuelling Blade3235.56%69.243.75%+5.48%+18.75%-18.75%0.00%-01:20-01:29-01:29-01:29-01:2901:4300:0000:00
vanguardVanguard88.89%68.262.50%+14.31%-12.50%+37.50%40.00%12:0104:4405:1605:3906:3131:4901:1500:55
octarine_coreOctarine Core1415.56%67.350.00%+3.09%0.00%+16.67%1.04%30:2016:0520:1525:1336:2154:0916:0611:55
bottleBottle1415.56%66.450.00%+3.09%0.00%+16.67%16.67%01:3401:0901:2501:3401:3902:2400:1400:10
mask_of_madnessMask of Madness66.67%65.466.67%+17.86%-16.67%-66.67%0.00%09:4408:5609:1209:3309:5811:0100:4600:34
spirit_vesselSpirit Vessel66.67%64.566.67%+17.86%-16.67%+33.33%0.00%12:3009:0409:5512:1413:2417:3803:2902:34
wind_laceWind Lace3437.78%63.638.24%-1.27%+17.32%-25.74%-7.00%09:13-01:2907:0308:2013:1219:0906:0904:33
heartHeart of Tarrasque910.00%62.655.56%+7.94%-5.56%-5.56%0.00%26:1515:1419:4726:0031:1339:2411:2608:28
lifestealMorbid Mask910.00%61.755.56%+7.37%+44.44%-5.56%-6.02%14:3506:4807:0108:1415:1947:1408:1806:08
aether_lensAether Lens910.00%60.755.56%+7.94%+44.44%+44.44%0.00%21:4508:4414:0223:3426:3933:0112:3709:20
phase_bootsPhase Boots1213.33%59.850.00%+2.44%+16.67%+16.67%0.00%09:0805:0605:5607:1507:3131:1201:3501:10
glimmer_capeGlimmer Cape1213.33%58.950.00%+3.01%-16.67%+16.67%3.31%24:2112:3217:3921:2727:4452:1310:0507:28
kaya_and_sangeKaya and Sange44.44%57.975.00%+26.72%+25.00%+25.00%0.00%29:0625:4725:4726:2831:4032:3005:5304:21
soul_ringSoul Ring44.44%57.075.00%+26.16%+25.00%+25.00%0.00%07:5406:3306:3307:2808:1209:2201:3901:13
guardian_greavesGuardian Greaves22.22%56.1100.00%+51.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%29:4729:4629:4629:4729:4729:4700:0100:00
orchidOrchid Malevolence22.22%55.1100.00%+51.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%31:0829:2429:2432:5132:5132:5103:2702:33
aeon_diskAeon Disk22.22%54.2100.00%+51.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%49:4444:2244:2255:0655:0655:0610:4407:57
bloodthornBloodthorn22.22%53.3100.00%+51.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%32:2732:0332:0332:5132:5132:5100:4800:35
abyssal_bladeAbyssal Blade22.22%52.3100.00%+51.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%31:2430:1430:1432:3432:3432:3402:2001:43
null_talismanNull Talisman22.22%51.4100.00%+51.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%02:2401:3801:3803:1003:1003:1001:3201:08
swift_blinkSwift Blink22.22%50.5100.00%+51.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%43:3036:4236:4250:1850:1850:1813:3610:04
kayaKaya77.78%49.557.14%+8.90%+42.86%-7.14%-7.35%32:2219:1525:1826:2832:0654:0206:4805:02
headdressHeaddress77.78%48.657.14%+7.74%-7.14%-7.14%0.00%21:5911:2014:1124:0725:3230:5211:2108:24
hand_of_midasHand of Midas1820.00%47.738.89%-7.45%+1.11%-13.89%-2.59%18:1611:1313:2716:0719:1541:3805:4804:17
blade_mailBlade Mail1112.22%46.745.45%-2.74%-45.45%-12.12%17.39%13:2507:4211:5712:5113:5223:0501:5501:25
bracerBracer1112.22%45.845.45%-2.74%+21.22%-12.12%-28.17%01:56-01:2901:2802:1602:3903:1201:1100:52
hurricane_pikeHurricane Pike55.56%44.960.00%+11.16%+40.00%-60.00%0.00%30:2926:3326:3328:0233:3337:4207:0005:11
wraith_bandWraith Band1617.78%43.937.50%-10.65%+12.50%+12.50%0.00%14:1601:3402:1302:5126:4939:1224:3618:13
crownCrown1718.89%43.035.29%-12.86%-10.29%+14.71%1.97%13:3903:0906:2812:1619:0929:3112:4109:23
silver_edgeSilver Edge910.00%42.144.44%-4.96%+5.56%+5.56%0.00%33:4525:2428:4033:5035:2742:5006:4705:01
lesser_critCrystalys910.00%41.144.44%-4.96%+55.56%+5.56%-5.34%30:5120:2123:2430:2932:4642:5009:2206:56
basherSkull Basher33.33%40.266.67%+17.81%+33.33%0.00%0.00%31:0727:2127:2129:1836:4136:4109:2006:54
witch_bladeWitch Blade33.33%39.366.67%+17.24%+33.33%0.00%0.00%11:5910:5210:5211:3313:3113:3102:3901:57
mage_slayerMage Slayer33.33%38.366.67%+17.24%+33.33%0.00%0.00%23:4519:2419:2420:1131:4131:4112:1709:05
boots_of_bearingBoots of Bearing33.33%37.466.67%+17.24%+33.33%0.00%0.00%33:5226:0726:0729:4445:4545:4519:3814:32
invis_swordShadow Blade1112.22%36.436.36%-13.64%-3.03%-3.03%0.00%27:5219:3622:5325:2628:4242:4805:4904:18
dragon_lanceDragon Lance77.78%35.542.86%-5.98%-42.86%+7.14%3.34%21:3709:3311:0525:5326:0233:2214:5711:04
sangeSange77.78%34.642.86%-5.98%+7.14%-42.86%-5.68%28:5721:4322:2430:0531:1237:3308:4806:31
travel_bootsBoots of Travel77.78%33.642.86%-5.98%+7.14%-42.86%-8.62%39:2822:0434:4839:3540:3656:3405:4804:17
ancient_janggoDrum of Endurance44.44%32.750.00%0.00%+50.00%-50.00%0.00%20:5914:1014:1017:3418:4633:2504:3603:24
rod_of_atosRod of Atos44.44%31.850.00%0.00%+50.00%+50.00%0.00%17:5216:0916:0917:4617:5019:4201:4101:14
blight_stoneBlight Stone1617.78%30.825.00%-25.62%-25.00%0.00%1.80%14:37-01:2904:3913:1118:3352:3113:5410:17
moon_shardMoon Shard11.11%29.9100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%49:3849:3849:3849:3849:3849:3800:0000:00
disperserDisperser11.11%29.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%35:0435:0435:0435:0435:0435:0400:0000:00
ethereal_bladeEthereal Blade11.11%28.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%54:0254:0254:0254:0254:0254:0200:0000:00
arcane_blinkArcane Blink11.11%27.1100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%38:2138:2138:2138:2138:2138:2100:0000:00
medallion_of_courageMedallion of Courage1011.11%26.230.00%-21.22%-30.00%+20.00%5.92%14:5505:4510:0713:1118:3426:4308:2706:15
helm_of_iron_willHelm of Iron Will55.56%25.240.00%-10.00%-40.00%+60.00%0.00%13:2004:2204:2207:3115:3233:1411:1008:16
echo_sabreEcho Sabre66.67%24.333.33%-17.26%+16.67%-33.33%0.00%13:4912:4812:5613:0514:2815:2301:3201:08
ring_of_basiliusRing of Basilius88.89%23.425.00%-26.81%+25.00%+25.00%0.00%13:4900:5604:2307:2913:2347:1409:0006:40
solar_crestSolar Crest910.00%22.422.22%-29.59%-22.22%-22.22%0.00%20:3110:0513:4219:2822:3431:1408:5206:34
bloodstoneBloodstone22.22%21.550.00%0.00%+50.00%0.00%0.00%23:0822:3222:3223:4423:4423:4401:1200:53
nullifierNullifier22.22%20.650.00%0.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%29:1024:3824:3833:4133:4133:4109:0306:42
harpoonHarpoon33.33%19.633.33%-17.24%-33.33%0.00%0.00%24:1818:0518:0524:1130:3730:3712:3209:17
sphereLinken's Sphere33.33%18.733.33%-16.67%+66.67%0.00%0.00%33:4915:0515:0539:4746:3646:3631:3123:20
vladmirVladmir's Offering33.33%17.833.33%-17.24%-33.33%0.00%0.00%28:4416:4016:4022:0447:2747:2730:4722:48
armletArmlet of Mordiggian33.33%16.833.33%-17.24%+66.67%0.00%0.00%11:3808:4008:4010:3115:4415:4407:0405:14
cycloneEul's Scepter of Divinity33.33%15.933.33%-17.24%+66.67%0.00%0.00%23:3718:4118:4124:1427:5527:5509:1406:50
skadiEye of Skadi33.33%15.033.33%-17.24%-33.33%0.00%0.00%27:4120:2720:2725:1737:1937:1916:5212:29
diffusal_bladeDiffusal Blade44.44%14.025.00%-25.57%-25.00%+75.00%0.00%12:3607:0707:0713:5513:5515:2706:4805:02
diademDiadem44.44%13.125.00%-25.57%-25.00%+75.00%0.00%18:5608:0708:0716:1121:5729:2913:5010:14
pipePipe of Insight44.44%12.125.00%-26.16%-25.00%-25.00%0.00%21:0915:0215:0215:5522:2731:1207:2505:29
desolatorDesolator44.44%11.225.00%-26.16%-25.00%-25.00%0.00%27:0914:5814:5820:2720:3852:3105:4004:11
javelinJavelin77.78%10.30.00%-52.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%28:0009:0215:3431:0832:1046:3516:3612:17
veil_of_discordVeil of Discord22.22%9.30.00%-51.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%12:1510:4610:4613:4313:4313:4302:5702:11
orb_of_venomOrb of Venom22.22%8.40.00%-51.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%04:3103:1803:1805:4405:4405:4402:2601:48
helm_of_the_overlordHelm of the Overlord11.11%7.50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%18:2918:2918:2918:2918:2918:2900:0000:00
ultimate_scepter_2Aghanim's Blessing11.11%6.50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%45:3045:3045:3045:3045:3045:3000:0000:00
mjollnirMjollnir33.33%5.60.00%-51.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%34:1524:2524:2529:2348:5748:5724:3218:10
helm_of_the_dominatorHelm of the Dominator11.11%4.70.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%10:1910:1910:1910:1910:1910:1900:0000:00
falcon_bladeFalcon Blade11.11%3.70.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%07:5607:5607:5607:5607:5607:5600:0000:00
orb_of_corrosionOrb of Corrosion22.22%2.80.00%-51.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%05:2704:4704:4706:0706:0706:0701:2000:59
monkey_king_barMonkey King Bar44.44%1.90.00%-52.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%33:5531:5231:5232:3033:5837:2002:0601:33
maelstromMaelstrom33.33%0.90.00%-51.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%25:5012:5512:5517:5946:3546:3533:4024:56