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The International 2018 Qualifiers

Dota 2 World Championships Qualifiers

Heroes picked: 112

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Explain this to me
Winrate shifts are differences in winrate compared to the item's winrate overall. Values are for when the item wasn't bought, early (Q1) and late (Q3) timings (higher is better). Winrate gradient per minute shows how winrate changes with every minute of the item's delayed purchase timing. Item timings values can be used to restore the normal distribution chart, where Q1, median and Q3 mean the first, second and third quantiles respectively.
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
ItemPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxStd.Dev
bootsBoots of Speed240598.16%65.150.06%+49.11%+2.52%-3.80%-1.74%06:06-01:3003:3505:2107:1352:0702:41
Columns
TotalWinrate shiftsTimings
HeroPickupsPickup rateRankWinrateWhen pickedEarlyLateGradient (%/min)MeanMinQ1MedianQ3MaxWindowStd.Dev
meepoMeepo2100.00%100.0100.00%+100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%02:4502:0402:0403:2603:2603:2601:2201:00
abaddonAbaddon5100.00%99.1100.00%+100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%04:5802:2502:2504:3406:4108:4104:1603:09
keeper_of_the_lightKeeper of the Light2100.00%98.2100.00%+100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%07:5705:3905:3910:1510:1510:1504:3603:24
ursaUrsa1100.00%97.3100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%02:3802:3802:3802:3802:3802:3800:0000:00
enigmaEnigma7100.00%96.485.71%+85.71%-35.71%+14.29%26.55%03:28-01:2902:5404:0204:4705:4001:5301:23
juggernautJuggernaut6100.00%95.583.33%+83.33%+16.67%+16.67%0.00%04:5902:5504:0604:4406:2606:3502:2001:43
shadow_shamanShadow Shaman5100.00%94.680.00%+80.00%+20.00%+20.00%0.00%04:4200:3900:3904:5905:2308:3404:4403:30
pudgePudge4100.00%93.875.00%+75.00%+25.00%+25.00%0.00%02:1501:5001:5002:0602:0802:5700:1800:13
huskarHuskar11100.00%92.972.73%+72.73%+27.27%+27.27%0.00%05:0701:2902:3304:3506:3210:3703:5902:57
bristlebackBristleback7100.00%92.071.43%+71.43%+28.57%-71.43%-15.50%06:3802:0102:3506:4309:0210:1906:2704:46
chenChen2592.59%91.172.00%+22.00%-22.00%+11.33%6.56%07:5001:2404:4106:3509:4621:0505:0503:45
miranaMirana61100.00%90.267.21%+67.21%+12.79%-0.54%-4.35%05:4501:5204:0205:4807:0609:5703:0402:16
lycanLycan3673.47%89.369.44%+15.59%-2.77%-25.00%-1.76%15:4102:3607:5818:4120:3631:0212:3809:21
razorRazor12100.00%88.466.67%+66.67%+33.33%0.00%-20.83%03:0501:4202:0402:2303:4005:4501:3601:11
spirit_breakerSpirit Breaker6100.00%87.566.67%+66.67%+33.33%-66.67%-9.58%09:5602:0205:0805:1915:3423:4310:2607:43
earth_spiritEarth Spirit3100.00%86.666.67%+66.67%+33.33%0.00%0.00%03:2400:4200:4203:4305:4605:4605:0403:45
tuskTusk32100.00%85.765.63%+65.63%+9.37%-15.63%-10.87%04:5701:0603:2704:2405:4511:1002:1801:42
templar_assassinTemplar Assassin29100.00%84.865.52%+65.52%-8.38%-22.66%-7.20%05:3302:4604:3605:2906:3509:1601:5901:28
magnataurMagnus28100.00%83.964.29%+64.29%+21.42%-7.15%-13.60%04:0501:5302:4003:1004:4608:2602:0601:33
bounty_hunterBounty Hunter11100.00%83.063.64%+63.64%-30.31%+3.03%24.70%04:3401:2504:0604:3505:2705:5601:2101:00
nyx_assassinNyx Assassin11100.00%82.163.64%+63.64%+3.03%+3.03%0.00%04:3802:2503:3404:1405:3107:1301:5701:26
faceless_voidFaceless Void30100.00%81.363.33%+63.33%-0.83%-20.47%-9.74%05:3702:4504:3305:4606:3408:1402:0101:29
phantom_lancerPhantom Lancer59100.00%80.462.71%+62.71%+3.96%-16.04%-9.76%06:1202:0905:1305:5607:1613:0702:0301:31
drow_rangerDrow Ranger16100.00%79.562.50%+62.50%+12.50%-12.50%-8.88%04:3601:4503:0804:4905:5706:3702:4902:05
winter_wyvernWinter Wyvern15100.00%78.660.00%+60.00%-10.00%+15.00%7.98%04:4902:2502:4604:0605:5409:3103:0802:19
phoenixPhoenix15100.00%77.760.00%+60.00%-35.00%+15.00%34.88%06:1802:0305:1706:1806:4311:4901:2601:03
silencerSilencer15100.00%76.860.00%+60.00%-10.00%-10.00%0.00%07:2203:2005:2206:2407:1715:3301:5501:25
centaurCentaur Warrunner5100.00%75.960.00%+60.00%+40.00%+40.00%0.00%06:3803:3103:3106:5007:4308:4904:1203:06
phantom_assassinPhantom Assassin12100.00%75.058.33%+58.33%+8.34%+8.34%0.00%05:1802:3803:0005:1907:0907:5904:0903:04
witch_doctorWitch Doctor6498.46%74.157.81%+57.81%-20.31%+4.69%5.05%07:4402:0404:4806:2209:4523:1204:5703:40
chaos_knightChaos Knight7100.00%73.257.14%+57.14%+42.86%-7.14%-11.76%05:3402:2703:0604:0107:2110:4704:1503:08
crystal_maidenCrystal Maiden7100.00%72.357.14%+57.14%-57.14%+42.86%40.54%06:3602:3904:5406:5007:2210:3002:2801:49
death_prophetDeath Prophet37100.00%71.456.76%+56.76%+9.91%+9.91%0.00%05:2802:1504:4005:2206:2207:4101:4201:15
rattletrapClockwerk62100.00%70.556.45%+56.45%+6.05%-23.12%-11.91%04:25-01:3003:1404:3305:4108:4602:2701:48
warlockWarlock8998.89%69.656.18%+56.18%+7.46%-1.63%-1.42%09:0001:4905:2708:1611:5122:3906:2404:44
oracleOracle18100.00%68.855.56%+55.56%+24.44%-5.56%-7.76%06:0702:4804:0505:2407:5711:2303:5202:51
brewmasterBrewmaster27100.00%67.955.56%+55.56%+15.87%-26.99%-30.25%03:2401:2402:3703:2304:0207:3401:2501:02
dark_seerDark Seer866.67%67.062.50%+37.50%+37.50%-12.50%-2.16%20:5005:3405:5011:4528:5852:0723:0817:08
medusaMedusa11100.00%66.154.55%+54.55%+12.12%+45.45%18.35%06:2304:3605:1806:3107:0708:0801:4901:20
lionLion11100.00%65.254.55%+54.55%-21.22%-21.22%0.00%06:4701:5203:0906:3206:5616:1903:4702:48
linaLina46100.00%64.354.35%+54.35%-4.35%+0.20%2.63%06:0602:5905:1306:1106:5709:0201:4401:17
lone_druidLone Druid787.50%63.457.14%-42.86%-7.14%+42.86%5.66%12:0203:0904:5907:5513:4925:0108:5006:32
dragon_knightDragon Knight48100.00%62.554.17%+54.17%+4.16%-12.50%-7.46%05:1402:2404:0005:3006:1408:1802:1401:39
nevermoreShadow Fiend13100.00%61.653.85%+53.85%+12.82%+12.82%0.00%05:2403:1003:3505:4106:3807:3803:0302:15
monkey_kingMonkey King13100.00%60.753.85%+53.85%-20.52%+12.82%21.06%03:3702:1202:3803:3304:1305:1401:3501:10
beastmasterBeastmaster75100.00%59.852.00%+52.00%-15.16%+0.63%10.30%03:3301:5202:3503:0404:0708:1901:3201:08
morphlingMorphling37100.00%58.951.35%+51.35%+4.21%-6.91%-4.00%06:4902:3205:0406:4207:5113:3502:4702:03
elder_titanElder Titan42100.00%58.050.00%+50.00%+4.55%-10.00%-7.40%04:5401:4403:5504:2705:5308:3801:5801:27
earthshakerEarthshaker4100.00%57.150.00%+50.00%+50.00%-50.00%-67.42%02:21-01:29-01:29-01:2902:5809:2204:2703:17
ember_spiritEmber Spirit62100.00%56.350.00%+50.00%+18.75%-23.33%-13.50%05:4801:2804:0705:4507:1410:1703:0702:18
vengefulspiritVengeful Spirit4100.00%55.450.00%+50.00%-50.00%+50.00%10.43%10:2502:3302:3308:4212:0818:1509:3507:05
shredderTimbersaw2100.00%54.550.00%+50.00%-50.00%0.00%7.52%07:1203:5203:5210:3110:3110:3106:3904:55
terrorbladeTerrorblade2100.00%53.650.00%+50.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%04:3704:2404:2404:5004:5004:5000:2600:19
alchemistAlchemist2100.00%52.750.00%+50.00%+50.00%0.00%0.00%06:0404:3804:3807:2907:2907:2902:5102:06
slardarSlardar10100.00%51.850.00%+50.00%+16.67%+50.00%14.60%03:5101:3602:4703:3205:0406:3802:1701:41
tidehunterTidehunter10100.00%50.950.00%+50.00%+50.00%0.00%-15.15%04:1801:5302:2802:5205:4608:2703:1802:26
batriderBatrider18100.00%50.050.00%+50.00%+30.00%-50.00%-41.74%03:0400:5602:0902:3904:0405:5701:5501:25
shadow_demonShadow Demon1292.31%49.150.00%+50.00%+16.67%-50.00%-19.42%06:1301:2203:0604:3906:3213:3203:2602:32
kunkkaKunkka27100.00%48.248.15%+48.15%-19.58%+23.28%26.24%04:5901:5204:1105:0705:4908:0001:3801:12
storm_spiritStorm Spirit27100.00%47.348.15%+48.15%-33.86%-19.58%7.45%05:2303:1804:1205:3206:0708:0901:5501:25
windrunnerWindranger102100.00%46.448.04%+48.04%-9.58%-8.04%0.58%05:4501:3904:2705:4407:0709:5702:4001:58
pugnaPugna23100.00%45.547.83%+47.83%-14.50%+2.17%6.85%04:4602:1103:0404:3905:3008:2902:2601:48
naga_sirenNaga Siren6798.53%44.647.76%+47.76%+11.06%-6.58%-5.72%05:3601:3203:3705:2106:4215:3903:0502:17
skywrath_mageSkywrath Mage6686.84%43.848.48%+8.48%-13.19%+7.77%3.50%11:2301:2207:3009:0013:2946:0405:5904:25
bloodseekerBloodseeker39100.00%42.946.15%+46.15%+3.85%-6.15%-5.13%03:3201:0902:2303:0004:2008:4801:5701:26
doom_bringerDoom39100.00%42.046.15%+46.15%+3.85%-16.15%-20.00%03:01-01:2902:3203:0203:2406:0400:5200:38
wispIo956.25%41.155.56%-1.58%-5.56%+44.44%3.20%25:0412:4715:3224:5731:1040:0215:3811:34
jakiroJakiro48100.00%40.245.83%+45.83%-4.16%-4.16%0.00%06:0901:0103:3905:5107:5613:2404:1703:10
zuusZeus24100.00%39.345.83%+45.83%+4.17%+4.17%0.00%04:31-01:2703:3204:5105:1608:4901:4401:17
axeAxe36100.00%38.444.44%+44.44%0.00%-11.11%-3.92%04:0401:3902:3003:0705:2009:4102:5002:05
invokerInvoker9100.00%37.544.44%+44.44%+5.56%-44.44%-13.10%07:2605:0705:1005:3808:5913:1603:4902:49
leshracLeshrac63100.00%36.644.44%+44.44%-0.69%-0.69%0.00%05:1701:3903:2805:1706:0711:2202:3901:57
pangolierPangolier25100.00%35.744.00%+44.00%+22.67%-27.33%-17.86%04:3200:5902:4703:3605:3511:1702:4802:04
undyingUndying44100.00%34.843.18%+43.18%+11.37%-6.82%-4.49%07:4101:0205:3407:3009:3714:0504:0303:00
clinkzClinkz7100.00%33.942.86%+42.86%+57.14%+7.14%-44.78%05:5701:4905:3005:5406:3708:3901:0700:49
venomancerVenomancer19100.00%33.042.11%+42.11%+37.89%-22.11%-20.57%04:1501:1702:2302:5205:1810:1402:5502:09
lunaLuna24100.00%32.141.67%+41.67%+8.33%-8.34%-7.20%05:2901:5804:0404:3606:2310:1502:1901:42
slarkSlark22100.00%31.340.91%+40.91%+9.09%-20.91%-8.82%05:0301:5802:5604:3206:2009:5803:2402:31
sand_kingSand King57100.00%30.440.35%+40.35%-18.92%+9.65%12.42%04:07-01:2903:0203:5405:2010:4902:1801:42
lichLich5100.00%29.540.00%+40.00%+60.00%+60.00%0.00%04:5704:3004:3004:3704:4606:1400:1600:11
furionNature's Prophet15100.00%28.640.00%+40.00%-15.00%+35.00%12.10%04:45-01:2901:5204:0506:0020:3904:0803:03
baneBane40100.00%27.740.00%+40.00%-10.00%+20.00%4.35%09:1902:0705:3408:1412:2822:1506:5405:06
night_stalkerNight Stalker51100.00%26.839.22%+39.22%-0.76%-8.45%-4.35%03:4800:5902:4103:1304:2708:2001:4601:18
gyrocopterGyrocopter18100.00%25.938.89%+38.89%-18.89%+11.11%11.11%05:2801:5004:2005:1907:0209:3502:4202:00
disruptorDisruptor34100.00%25.038.24%+38.24%+6.20%-25.74%-6.68%08:5702:0106:2308:5311:1016:3904:4703:32
visageVisage16100.00%24.137.50%+37.50%+12.50%-12.50%-3.42%09:5601:4906:2310:2113:4218:1107:1905:25
tinkerTinker11100.00%23.236.36%+36.36%+30.31%-36.36%-31.50%05:4602:0204:1205:1306:1911:2202:0701:34
omniknightOmniknight14100.00%22.335.71%+35.71%+14.29%-2.38%-7.81%04:1001:5902:4503:3604:5308:4202:0801:34
life_stealerLifestealer27100.00%21.433.33%+33.33%+9.53%-4.76%-8.32%04:0501:4103:0303:3204:4609:2601:4301:16
svenSven3100.00%20.533.33%+33.33%-33.33%0.00%0.00%04:0302:2602:2603:3506:0806:0803:4202:44
dark_willowDark Willow12100.00%19.633.33%+33.33%+33.34%-33.33%-18.35%06:2702:1704:5306:0208:3109:5103:3802:41
tinyTiny3100.00%18.833.33%+33.33%-33.33%0.00%17.86%04:1003:3203:3203:3505:2405:2401:5201:22
queenofpainQueen of Pain16100.00%17.931.25%+31.25%+18.75%-6.25%-5.86%08:3403:3506:0608:3610:2214:4404:1603:09
spectreSpectre21100.00%17.028.57%+28.57%+51.43%-28.57%-17.14%05:5501:4103:3605:3808:1610:3104:4003:27
puckPuck7100.00%16.128.57%+28.57%-28.57%+21.43%14.63%05:1702:3302:4806:0106:1307:0903:2502:31
antimageAnti-Mage7100.00%15.228.57%+28.57%-28.57%+21.43%20.55%05:4603:1903:5906:2406:2508:0202:2601:48
abyssal_underlordUnderlord18100.00%14.327.78%+27.78%-7.78%-27.78%-6.82%04:4101:4702:3503:3605:3110:5002:5602:10
legion_commanderLegion Commander11100.00%13.427.27%+27.27%+6.06%-27.27%-33.33%02:5601:2702:2202:2702:5806:2300:3600:26
troll_warlordTroll Warlord15100.00%12.526.67%+26.67%-26.67%-1.67%11.90%05:3901:4404:0005:3906:0608:5902:0601:33
viperViper5100.00%11.620.00%+20.00%-20.00%-20.00%0.00%05:3902:1802:1805:3205:4709:5503:2902:34
treantTreant Protector10100.00%10.720.00%+20.00%+46.67%-20.00%-13.20%06:0101:3203:5404:4408:5712:1905:0303:44
ogre_magiOgre Magi5100.00%9.820.00%+20.00%-20.00%-20.00%0.00%06:4303:5503:5505:3507:3111:0003:3602:40
broodmotherBroodmother981.82%8.922.22%-77.78%+27.78%+27.78%0.00%16:1206:1906:5912:0417:2547:3310:2607:43
dazzleDazzle6100.00%8.016.67%+16.67%-16.67%-16.67%0.00%08:2204:5606:2207:5210:3211:3904:1003:05
obsidian_destroyerOutworld Destroyer6100.00%7.116.67%+16.67%-16.67%-16.67%0.00%06:1705:1605:3805:4107:2007:5001:4201:15
rubickRubick15100.00%6.313.33%+13.33%+11.67%-13.33%-14.42%06:1303:0005:0805:5206:5210:0801:4401:17
weaverWeaver150.00%5.40.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%24:5524:5524:5524:5524:5524:5500:0000:00
skeleton_kingWraith King1100.00%4.50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%04:2704:2704:2704:2704:2704:2700:0000:00
arc_wardenArc Warden4100.00%3.60.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%06:4302:2402:2407:2408:0908:5405:4504:15
enchantressEnchantress1100.00%2.70.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%03:5903:5903:5903:5903:5903:5900:0000:00
ancient_apparitionAncient Apparition1100.00%1.80.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%14:5514:5514:5514:5514:5514:5500:0000:00
techiesTechies1100.00%0.90.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%06:5906:5906:5906:5906:5906:5900:0000:00